Predictions › Denmark › Brøndby IF vs AGF
Danish SuperligaSun 1 Nov, 17:00 Denmark time

Brøndby IF vs AGF prediction

Brondby Stadion

Brøndby IFHome
1.56 : 1.41
expected goals
AGFAway
41%Brøndby
26%Draw
34%AGF
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brøndby IF vs AGF is Brøndby IF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Brøndby IF to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brøndby IF 1.6, AGF 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brøndby IF 41%, the draw 26% and AGF 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brøndby IF took 3 points from their last 5 games and AGF took 5 from 5. AGF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brøndby IF won 5 of their last 11 games at home. AGF won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brøndby IF score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. AGF score 1.5 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Brøndby IF games and 11 of AGF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Brøndby IF won 0 and AGF won 2 with 3 draws. The last one ended AGF 1, Brøndby IF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brøndbyrecent form-3%
  • AGFrecent form-1%
Brøndby form D W L L LAGF form D L W D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brøndby IF vs AGF: Brøndby IF shade it

The big picture

Brøndby IF host AGF in the Danish Superliga on Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 at Brondby Stadion. Our prediction for Brøndby IF vs AGF is Brøndby IF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Brøndby IF form

Brøndby IF have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

AGF form

AGF have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Brøndby IF won 0, AGF won 2 and 3 games ended level. Last time out it finished AGF 1, Brøndby IF 1.

Our call

We expect Brøndby IF to score about 1.6 goals and AGF about 1.4. That points to Brøndby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrøndbyAGF
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws29
Losses106
Goals scored3230
Goals conceded3427
Scored per game1.61.5
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record5W 1D 5L3W 5D 1L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals35%2.89
Both teams to score60%1.66
Brøndby IF or Draw66%1.51
AGF or Draw59%1.68
Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.527%3.70
AGF to win and Over 2.522%4.53
Brøndby IF clean sheet24%4.08
AGF clean sheet21%4.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
1-07.3%
0-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brøndby IF vs AGF?

Our prediction for Brøndby IF vs AGF is Brøndby IF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Brøndby IF vs AGF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Brøndby IF to score 1.6 goals and AGF 1.4.

Will both teams score in Brøndby IF vs AGF?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Brøndby IF last 20 games and 14 of AGF last 20.

How are Brøndby IF playing?

Brøndby IF have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are AGF playing?

AGF have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Brøndby IF and AGF last met?

It ended AGF 1, Brøndby IF 1. In the last 5 meetings Brøndby IF won 0 and AGF won 2.

What is the best bet for Brøndby IF vs AGF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brøndby against AGF. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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