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Predictions › Denmark › Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub
Danish SuperligaSun 11 Oct, 14:00 Denmark time

Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub prediction

Brondby Stadion

Brøndby IFHome
1.82 : 1.21
expected goals
Lyngby BoldklubAway
51%Brøndby
24%Draw
25%Lyngby
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub is Brøndby IF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Brøndby IF to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brøndby IF 1.8, Lyngby Boldklub 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brøndby IF 51%, the draw 24% and Lyngby Boldklub 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Brøndby IF the favourite at 1.71.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brøndby IF took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lyngby Boldklub took 5 from 5. Lyngby Boldklub come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brøndby IF won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Lyngby Boldklub won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brøndby IF score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Lyngby Boldklub score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Brøndby IF games and 4 of Lyngby Boldklub games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brøndbyrecent form-4%
  • Lyngbyrecent form-1%
Brøndby form L L L L WLyngby form L D W D LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub: Brøndby IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brøndby IF host Lyngby Boldklub in the Danish Superliga on Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 at Brondby Stadion. Our prediction for Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub is Brøndby IF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Brøndby IF form

Brøndby IF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Lyngby Boldklub form

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Brøndby IF to score about 1.8 goals and Lyngby Boldklub about 1.2. That points to Brøndby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.01.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrøndbyLyngby
Games played209
Wins71
Draws34
Losses104
Goals scored2610
Goals conceded3116
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record4W 1D 6L0W 4D 1L
Away record3W 2D 4L1W 0D 3L
Clean sheets25%11%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.5 goals55%44%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Brøndby IF to win48%2.081.71-17.7%
A Draw24%4.204.00-4.8%
Lyngby Boldklub to win24%4.144.00-3.4%
Over 2.5 goals56%1.801.54-14.3%
Under 2.5 goals38%2.602.25-13.4%
Brøndby IF -0.551%1.981.65-16.8%
Lyngby Boldklub +0.544%2.302.00-13.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.79
Both teams to score59%1.69
Brøndby IF or Draw75%1.33
Lyngby Boldklub or Draw49%2.04
Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.535%2.87
Lyngby Boldklub to win and Over 2.516%6.29
Brøndby IF clean sheet30%3.34
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet16%6.15

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-19.7%
1-08.2%
2-08.0%
1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub?

Our prediction for Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub is Brøndby IF to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Brøndby IF to score 1.8 goals and Lyngby Boldklub 1.2.

Will both teams score in Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Brøndby IF last 20 games and 6 of Lyngby Boldklub last 9.

How are Brøndby IF playing?

Brøndby IF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Lyngby Boldklub playing?

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Brøndby IF vs Lyngby Boldklub?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brøndby against Lyngby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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