Predictions › United Kingdom › Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers

League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers prediction

Valley Parade

Bradford CityHome

1.45 : 0.83

expected goals

Doncaster RoversAway

51%Bradford

28%Draw

21%Doncaster

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers is Bradford City to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction: Bradford City to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Bradford City 1.4, Doncaster Rovers 0.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bradford City to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bradford City 51%, the draw 28% and Doncaster Rovers 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Bradford City took 8 points from their last 5 games and Doncaster Rovers took 3 from 5. Bradford City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bradford City won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Doncaster Rovers won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Bradford City score 1.2 goals a game and let in 0.6. Doncaster Rovers score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Bradford City games and 10 of Doncaster Rovers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Bradford City won 1 and Doncaster Rovers won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bradford City 1, Doncaster Rovers 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bradfordrecent form+3%

Bradford form W W L W DDoncaster form D W L L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers: Bradford City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bradford City host Doncaster Rovers in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Valley Parade. Our prediction for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers is Bradford City to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Bradford City form

Bradford City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Doncaster Rovers form

Doncaster Rovers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bradford City won 1, Doncaster Rovers won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bradford City 1, Doncaster Rovers 0.

Our call

We expect Bradford City to score about 1.4 goals and Doncaster Rovers about 0.8. That points to Bradford City to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Bradford City to win and Over 2.5 at 3/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bradford	Doncaster
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	5
Draws	5	5
Losses	5	10
Goals scored	24	23
Goals conceded	11	34
Scored per game	1.2	1.1
Conceded per game	0.6	1.7
Home record	6W 2D 3L	2W 3D 4L
Away record	4W 3D 2L	3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	65%	20%
Both teams scored	15%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	20%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	67%	1/2
Over 2.5 goals	40%	6/4
Over 3.5 goals	20%	4/1
Both teams to score	44%	5/4
Bradford City or Draw	79%	1/4
Doncaster Rovers or Draw	49%	21/20
Bradford City to win and Over 2.5	26%	11/4
Doncaster Rovers to win and Over 2.5	10%	9/1
Bradford City clean sheet	44%	5/4
Doncaster Rovers clean sheet	23%	10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.0%

1-113.0%

0-010.9%

2-010.7%

2-18.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Our prediction for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers is Bradford City to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Bradford City to score 1.4 goals and Doncaster Rovers 0.8.

Will both teams score in Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Bradford City last 20 games and 12 of Doncaster Rovers last 20.

How are Bradford City playing?

How are Doncaster Rovers playing?

What happened when Bradford City and Doncaster Rovers last met?

It ended Bradford City 1, Doncaster Rovers 0. In the last 1 meeting Bradford City won 1 and Doncaster Rovers won 0.

What is the best bet for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bradford against Doncaster. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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