Predictions › United Kingdom › Bradford City vs Leyton Orient
League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Bradford City vs Leyton Orient prediction

Valley Parade

Bradford CityHome
1.19 : 0.88
expected goals
Leyton OrientAway
42%Bradford
31%Draw
26%Leyton Orient
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bradford City vs Leyton Orient is Bradford City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Bradford City to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Bradford City 1.2, Leyton Orient 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bradford City 42%, the draw 31% and Leyton Orient 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bradford City took 12 points from their last 5 games and Leyton Orient took 7 from 5. Bradford City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bradford City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Leyton Orient won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bradford City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Leyton Orient score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Bradford City games and 9 of Leyton Orient games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Bradford City won 2 and Leyton Orient won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Leyton Orient 1, Bradford City 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bradfordrecent form+7%
  • Leyton Orientrecent form-3%
Bradford form W W W W WLeyton Orient form W L L L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bradford City vs Leyton Orient: Bradford City shade it

The big picture

Bradford City host Leyton Orient in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Valley Parade. Our prediction for Bradford City vs Leyton Orient is Bradford City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Bradford City form

Bradford City have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Leyton Orient form

Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Bradford City won 2, Leyton Orient won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Leyton Orient 1, Bradford City 3.

Our call

We expect Bradford City to score about 1.2 goals and Leyton Orient about 0.9. That points to Bradford City to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BradfordLeyton Orient
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws46
Losses68
Goals scored2226
Goals conceded1623
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game0.81.1
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 2D 6L
Away record6W 1D 3L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets40%45%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals30%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%8/13
Over 2.5 goals34%15/8
Over 3.5 goals16%11/2
Both teams to score42%7/5
Bradford City or Draw74%4/11
Leyton Orient or Draw58%8/11
Bradford City to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.511%8/1
Bradford City clean sheet41%7/5
Leyton Orient clean sheet30%9/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.2%
1-114.0%
0-013.3%
0-110.3%
2-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bradford City vs Leyton Orient?

Our prediction for Bradford City vs Leyton Orient is Bradford City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Bradford City vs Leyton Orient?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Bradford City to score 1.2 goals and Leyton Orient 0.9.

Will both teams score in Bradford City vs Leyton Orient?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Bradford City last 20 games and 9 of Leyton Orient last 20.

How are Bradford City playing?

Bradford City have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Leyton Orient playing?

Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Bradford City and Leyton Orient last met?

It ended Leyton Orient 1, Bradford City 3. In the last 3 meetings Bradford City won 2 and Leyton Orient won 1.

What is the best bet for Bradford City vs Leyton Orient?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bradford against Leyton Orient. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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