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Predictions › United Kingdom › Bradford City vs Stevenage
League OneSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Bradford City vs Stevenage prediction

Valley Parade

Bradford CityHome
1.16 : 0.69
expected goals
StevenageAway
46%Bradford
33%Draw
21%Stevenage
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bradford City vs Stevenage is Bradford City to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction
Bradford City to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Bradford City 1.2, Stevenage 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
17% chanceFair price 9/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bradford City 46%, the draw 33% and Stevenage 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bradford City took 13 points from their last 5 games and Stevenage took 8 from 5. Bradford City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bradford City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Stevenage won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bradford City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Stevenage score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Bradford City games and 8 of Stevenage games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Bradford City won 0 and Stevenage won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bradford City 0, Stevenage 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bradfordrecent form+4%
  • Stevenagerecent form+3%
Bradford form D D W W WStevenage form D W L W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bradford City vs Stevenage: Bradford City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bradford City host Stevenage in the League One on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Valley Parade. Our prediction for Bradford City vs Stevenage is Bradford City to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6.

Bradford City form

Bradford City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Stevenage form

Stevenage have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bradford City won 0, Stevenage won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bradford City 0, Stevenage 1.

Our call

We expect Bradford City to score about 1.2 goals and Stevenage about 0.7. That points to Bradford City to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 9/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BradfordStevenage
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws56
Losses56
Goals scored2222
Goals conceded1523
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game0.81.1
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 2D 3L
Away record6W 2D 2L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals25%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals56%4/5
Over 2.5 goals28%5/2
Over 3.5 goals12%15/2
Both teams to score35%15/8
Bradford City or Draw79%2/7
Stevenage or Draw54%5/6
Bradford City to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Stevenage to win and Over 2.57%12/1
Bradford City clean sheet50%Evens
Stevenage clean sheet31%11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.4%
0-016.4%
1-113.4%
2-010.5%
0-110.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bradford City vs Stevenage?

Our prediction for Bradford City vs Stevenage is Bradford City to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Bradford City vs Stevenage?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Bradford City to score 1.2 goals and Stevenage 0.7.

Will both teams score in Bradford City vs Stevenage?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Bradford City last 20 games and 9 of Stevenage last 20.

How are Bradford City playing?

Bradford City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Stevenage playing?

Stevenage have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Bradford City and Stevenage last met?

It ended Bradford City 0, Stevenage 1. In the last 2 meetings Bradford City won 0 and Stevenage won 1.

What is the best bet for Bradford City vs Stevenage?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bradford against Stevenage. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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