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Predictions › Portugal › Braga vs FC Famalicao
Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov, 20:30 Portugal time

Braga vs FC Famalicao prediction

Estádio Municipal de Braga

BragaHome
1.17 : 1.25
expected goals
FC FamalicaoAway
33%Braga
29%Draw
37%FC Famalicao
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Braga vs FC Famalicao is FC Famalicao to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
FC Famalicao to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Braga 1.2, FC Famalicao 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Braga 33%, the draw 29% and FC Famalicao 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Braga took 4 points from their last 5 games and FC Famalicao took 6 from 5. FC Famalicao come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Braga won 5 of their last 10 games at home. FC Famalicao won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Braga score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Famalicao score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Braga games and 8 of FC Famalicao games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Braga won 1 and FC Famalicao won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Braga 2, FC Famalicao 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bragarecent form-4%
  • Bragarest between games-5%
Braga form D L L L DFC Famalicao form D L W D DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Braga vs FC Famalicao: FC Famalicao shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Braga host FC Famalicao in the Primeira Liga on Sun 1 Nov, 20:30 at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Our prediction for Braga vs FC Famalicao is FC Famalicao to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Braga form

Braga have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

FC Famalicao form

FC Famalicao have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Braga won 1, FC Famalicao won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Braga 2, FC Famalicao 2.

Our call

We expect Braga to score about 1.2 goals and FC Famalicao about 1.3. That points to FC Famalicao to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BragaFC Famalicao
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws610
Losses63
Goals scored2825
Goals conceded2819
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record5W 3D 2L4W 4D 2L
Away record3W 3D 4L3W 6D 1L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.30
Over 3.5 goals23%4.44
Both teams to score50%2.00
Braga or Draw63%1.60
FC Famalicao or Draw67%1.50
Braga to win and Over 2.518%5.62
FC Famalicao to win and Over 2.520%4.96
Braga clean sheet29%3.49
FC Famalicao clean sheet31%3.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-110.3%
0-09.7%
1-09.6%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Braga vs FC Famalicao?

Our prediction for Braga vs FC Famalicao is FC Famalicao to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Braga vs FC Famalicao?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Braga to score 1.2 goals and FC Famalicao 1.3.

Will both teams score in Braga vs FC Famalicao?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Braga last 20 games and 10 of FC Famalicao last 20.

How are Braga playing?

Braga have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are FC Famalicao playing?

FC Famalicao have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Braga and FC Famalicao last met?

It ended Braga 2, FC Famalicao 2. In the last 2 meetings Braga won 1 and FC Famalicao won 0.

What is the best bet for Braga vs FC Famalicao?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Braga against FC Famalicao. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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