Predictions › France › Brest vs Angers

Ligue 1Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 France time

Brest vs Angers prediction

Stade Francis-Le Blé

BrestHome

1.61 : 1.15

expected goals

AngersAway

47%Brest

26%Draw

27%Angers

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brest vs Angers is Brest to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Brest to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Brest 1.6, Angers 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brest to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Brest 47%, the draw 26% and Angers 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Brest the favourite at 1.91.
2
Recent form
Brest took 5 points from their last 5 games and Angers took 7 from 5. Angers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Brest won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Angers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Brest score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Angers score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Brest games and 6 of Angers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Brest won 1 and Angers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Brest 1, Angers 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Brestrecent form-1%

Brest form L L W D DAngers form W D L W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brest vs Angers: Brest are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brest host Angers in the Ligue 1 on Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Our prediction for Brest vs Angers is Brest to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Brest form

Brest have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Angers form

Angers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brest won 1, Angers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Brest 1, Angers 1.

Our call

We expect Brest to score about 1.6 goals and Angers about 1.1. That points to Brest to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Brest to win and Over 2.5 at 3.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Brest	Angers
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	5
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	26	15
Goals conceded	32	28
Scored per game	1.3	0.8
Conceded per game	1.6	1.4
Home record	3W 3D 3L	3W 3D 5L
Away record	2W 4D 5L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	55%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Brest to win	44%	2.26	1.91	-15.4%
A Draw	25%	3.94	3.70	-6.0%
Angers to win	26%	3.88	3.65	-6.0%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.97	1.69	-14.2%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	2.33	2.05	-11.9%
Brest -0.5	46%	2.15	1.80	-16.4%
Angers +0.5	47%	2.11	1.83	-13.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.92
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.34
Both teams to score	55%	1.80
Brest or Draw	74%	1.36
Angers or Draw	53%	1.90
Brest to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.37
Angers to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.34
Brest clean sheet	32%	3.16
Angers clean sheet	20%	5.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%

1-09.5%

2-19.4%

2-08.2%

0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brest vs Angers?

Our prediction for Brest vs Angers is Brest to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Brest vs Angers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Brest to score 1.6 goals and Angers 1.1.

Will both teams score in Brest vs Angers?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Brest last 20 games and 8 of Angers last 20.

How are Brest playing?

How are Angers playing?

What happened when Brest and Angers last met?

It ended Brest 1, Angers 1. In the last 2 meetings Brest won 1 and Angers won 0.

What is the best bet for Brest vs Angers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brest against Angers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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