EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › France › Brest vs Nice
Ligue 1Fri 23 Oct, 18:45 France time

Brest vs Nice prediction

Stade Francis-Le Blé

BrestHome
1.95 : 0.97
expected goals
NiceAway
60%Brest
23%Draw
18%Nice
Eagle safe pickBrest or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brest vs Nice is Brest to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brest or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Brest to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brest 1.9, Nice 1.0
Best bet
Brest or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Brest or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brest to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brest 60%, the draw 23% and Nice 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brest took 7 points from their last 5 games and Nice took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brest won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Nice won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brest score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Nice score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Brest games and 8 of Nice games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Brest won 1 and Nice won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Nice 2, Brest 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Brest or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brestrecent form-1%
  • Nicerecent form-1%
  • Nicerest between games-2%
Brest form D L L W DNice form D W L D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brest vs Nice: Brest are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brest host Nice in the Ligue 1 on Fri 23 Oct, 18:45 at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Our prediction for Brest vs Nice is Brest to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brest or Draw at 1.24.

Brest form

Brest have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Nice form

Nice have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brest won 1, Nice won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Nice 2, Brest 2.

Our call

We expect Brest to score about 1.9 goals and Nice about 1.0. That points to Brest to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Brest or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Brest to win and Over 2.5 at 2.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrestNice
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws69
Losses88
Goals scored2915
Goals conceded3129
Scored per game1.40.8
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record4W 3D 3L2W 7D 2L
Away record2W 3D 5L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.00
Both teams to score54%1.86
Brest or Draw82%1.21
Nice or Draw40%2.47
Brest to win and Over 2.539%2.54
Nice to win and Over 2.510%9.59
Brest clean sheet38%2.63
Nice clean sheet14%6.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-010.3%
1-010.0%
2-19.9%
3-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brest vs Nice?

Our prediction for Brest vs Nice is Brest to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brest or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Brest vs Nice?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-0. We expect Brest to score 1.9 goals and Nice 1.0.

Will both teams score in Brest vs Nice?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Brest last 20 games and 9 of Nice last 20.

How are Brest playing?

Brest have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Nice playing?

Nice have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Brest and Nice last met?

It ended Nice 2, Brest 2. In the last 2 meetings Brest won 1 and Nice won 0.

What is the best bet for Brest vs Nice?

Brest or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brest against Nice. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.