Predictions › Australia › Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC

A-LeagueFri 30 Oct, 09:00 Australia time

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC prediction

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane RoarHome

0.90 : 1.84

expected goals

Auckland FCAway

17%Brisbane

24%Draw

59%Auckland

Eagle safe pickAuckland FC or Draw

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC is Auckland FC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction: Auckland FC to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Brisbane Roar 0.9, Auckland FC 1.8
Best bet: Auckland FC or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Auckland FC or Draw

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Auckland FC to win and Over 2.5

37% chanceFair price 2.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Brisbane Roar 17%, the draw 24% and Auckland FC 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Brisbane Roar took 2 points from their last 5 games and Auckland FC took 11 from 5. Auckland FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Brisbane Roar won 0 of their last 9 games at home. Auckland FC won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Brisbane Roar score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Auckland FC score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Brisbane Roar games and 12 of Auckland FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Brisbane Roar won 0 and Auckland FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Brisbane Roar 0, Auckland FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Auckland FC or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Brisbanerecent form-4%
Aucklandrecent form+1%
Brisbanerest between games-3%

Brisbane form L L D D LAuckland form D L W W DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC: Auckland FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brisbane Roar host Auckland FC in the A-League on Fri 30 Oct, 09:00 at Suncorp Stadium. Our prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC is Auckland FC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.22.

Brisbane Roar form

Brisbane Roar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Auckland FC form

Auckland FC have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brisbane Roar won 0, Auckland FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Brisbane Roar 0, Auckland FC 2.

Our call

We expect Brisbane Roar to score about 0.9 goals and Auckland FC about 1.8. That points to Auckland FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Auckland FC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Brisbane	Auckland
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	8
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	4
Goals scored	20	35
Goals conceded	33	21
Scored per game	1.0	1.8
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	0W 3D 6L	4W 5D 2L
Away record	3W 3D 5L	4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.93
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.37
Both teams to score	51%	1.97
Brisbane Roar or Draw	41%	2.43
Auckland FC or Draw	83%	1.21
Brisbane Roar to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.38
Auckland FC to win and Over 2.5	37%	2.72
Brisbane Roar clean sheet	16%	6.32
Auckland FC clean sheet	40%	2.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%

0-111.2%

0-210.9%

1-29.8%

0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?

Our prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC is Auckland FC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Brisbane Roar to score 0.9 goals and Auckland FC 1.8.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Brisbane Roar last 20 games and 13 of Auckland FC last 20.

How are Brisbane Roar playing?

How are Auckland FC playing?

What happened when Brisbane Roar and Auckland FC last met?

It ended Brisbane Roar 0, Auckland FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Brisbane Roar won 0 and Auckland FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?

Auckland FC or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brisbane against Auckland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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