EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Australia › Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
A-LeagueFri 23 Oct, 09:00 Australia time

Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory prediction

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane RoarHome
1.26 : 1.38
expected goals
Perth GloryAway
33%Brisbane
28%Draw
39%Perth Glory
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory is Perth Glory to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Perth Glory to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brisbane Roar 1.3, Perth Glory 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brisbane Roar 33%, the draw 28% and Perth Glory 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brisbane Roar took 2 points from their last 5 games and Perth Glory took 9 from 5. Perth Glory come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brisbane Roar won 0 of their last 9 games at home. Perth Glory won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brisbane Roar score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Perth Glory score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Brisbane Roar games and 12 of Perth Glory games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Brisbane Roar won 1 and Perth Glory won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Perth Glory 2, Brisbane Roar 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brisbanerecent form-4%
  • Perth Gloryrecent form+3%
  • Brisbanerest between games-3%
  • Perth Gloryrest between games-3%
Brisbane form L L D D LPerth Glory form W D W D DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory: Perth Glory shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brisbane Roar host Perth Glory in the A-League on Fri 23 Oct, 09:00 at Suncorp Stadium. Our prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory is Perth Glory to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Brisbane Roar form

Brisbane Roar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Perth Glory form

Perth Glory have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Brisbane Roar won 1, Perth Glory won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Perth Glory 2, Brisbane Roar 1.

Our call

We expect Brisbane Roar to score about 1.3 goals and Perth Glory about 1.4. That points to Perth Glory to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrisbanePerth Glory
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws66
Losses118
Goals scored2026
Goals conceded3329
Scored per game1.01.3
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record0W 3D 6L5W 1D 4L
Away record3W 3D 5L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%3.67
Both teams to score54%1.84
Brisbane Roar or Draw61%1.64
Perth Glory or Draw67%1.50
Brisbane Roar to win and Over 2.520%5.12
Perth Glory to win and Over 2.523%4.34
Brisbane Roar clean sheet25%3.97
Perth Glory clean sheet28%3.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-19.1%
1-28.6%
1-08.3%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?

Our prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory is Perth Glory to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Brisbane Roar to score 1.3 goals and Perth Glory 1.4.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Brisbane Roar last 20 games and 12 of Perth Glory last 20.

How are Brisbane Roar playing?

Brisbane Roar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Perth Glory playing?

Perth Glory have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory last met?

It ended Perth Glory 2, Brisbane Roar 1. In the last 3 meetings Brisbane Roar won 1 and Perth Glory won 1.

What is the best bet for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brisbane against Perth Glory. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.