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Predictions › Australia › Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC
A-LeagueSat 21 Nov, 08:40 Australia time

Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC prediction

Dolphin Stadium

Brisbane Roar FCHome
1.29 : 1.29
expected goals
Sydney FCAway
36%Brisbane
28%Draw
36%Sydney FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC is Sydney FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Sydney FC to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brisbane Roar FC 1.3, Sydney FC 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brisbane Roar FC 36%, the draw 28% and Sydney FC 36%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Brisbane Roar FC the favourite at 2.45, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brisbane Roar FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Sydney FC took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brisbane Roar FC won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Sydney FC won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brisbane Roar FC score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Sydney FC score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Brisbane Roar FC games and 7 of Sydney FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Brisbane Roar FC won 0 and Sydney FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Brisbane Roar FC 0, Sydney FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Brisbane form W D W L LSydney FC form W L W D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC: Sydney FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brisbane Roar FC host Sydney FC in the A-League on Sat 21 Nov, 08:40 at Dolphin Stadium. Our prediction for Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC is Sydney FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Brisbane Roar FC form

Brisbane Roar FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Sydney FC form

Sydney FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brisbane Roar FC won 0, Sydney FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Brisbane Roar FC 0, Sydney FC 0.

Our call

We expect Brisbane Roar FC to score about 1.3 goals and Sydney FC about 1.3. That points to Sydney FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrisbaneSydney FC
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws68
Losses106
Goals scored2321
Goals conceded3418
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.70.9
Home record1W 4D 6L3W 6D 3L
Away record3W 2D 4L3W 2D 3L
Clean sheets5%35%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Brisbane Roar FC to win35%2.842.45-13.7%
A Draw28%3.643.50-3.7%
Sydney FC to win35%2.842.60-8.4%
Over 2.5 goals48%2.101.71-18.2%
Under 2.5 goals45%2.211.95-11.5%
Brisbane Roar FC -0.537%2.672.30-13.8%
Sydney FC +0.557%1.761.50-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.84
Both teams to score53%1.87
Brisbane Roar FC or Draw64%1.56
Sydney FC or Draw64%1.56
Brisbane Roar FC to win and Over 2.521%4.83
Sydney FC to win and Over 2.521%4.83
Brisbane Roar FC clean sheet27%3.64
Sydney FC clean sheet27%3.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-19.0%
1-09.0%
0-08.3%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC?

Our prediction for Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC is Sydney FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Brisbane Roar FC to score 1.3 goals and Sydney FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Brisbane Roar FC last 20 games and 10 of Sydney FC last 20.

How are Brisbane Roar FC playing?

Brisbane Roar FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Sydney FC playing?

Sydney FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Brisbane Roar FC and Sydney FC last met?

It ended Brisbane Roar FC 0, Sydney FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Brisbane Roar FC won 0 and Sydney FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Brisbane Roar FC vs Sydney FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brisbane against Sydney FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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