Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers

ChampionshipTue 13 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction

Ashton Gate

Bristol CityHome

1.24 : 1.12

expected goals

Blackburn RoversAway

38%Bristol City

29%Draw

32%Blackburn

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers is Bristol City to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Bristol City to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Bristol City 1.2, Blackburn Rovers 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bristol City 38%, the draw 29% and Blackburn Rovers 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Bristol City took 9 points from their last 5 games and Blackburn Rovers took 5 from 5. Bristol City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bristol City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Blackburn Rovers won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Bristol City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Blackburn Rovers score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Bristol City games and 12 of Blackburn Rovers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Bristol City won 1 and Blackburn Rovers won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Blackburn Rovers 1, Bristol City 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bristol Cityrecent form+1%
Blackburnrecent form-1%

Bristol City form W L L W WBlackburn form D W L L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers: Bristol City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol City host Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 at Ashton Gate. Our prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers is Bristol City to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Blackburn Rovers form

Blackburn Rovers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bristol City won 1, Blackburn Rovers won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Blackburn Rovers 1, Bristol City 2.

Our call

We expect Bristol City to score about 1.2 goals and Blackburn Rovers about 1.1. That points to Bristol City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bristol City	Blackburn
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	6
Draws	4	7
Losses	9	7
Goals scored	22	23
Goals conceded	28	24
Scored per game	1.1	1.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.2
Home record	4W 0D 6L	2W 3D 4L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	4/9
Over 2.5 goals	42%	11/8
Over 3.5 goals	21%	7/2
Both teams to score	49%	21/20
Bristol City or Draw	68%	1/2
Blackburn Rovers or Draw	62%	8/13
Bristol City to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Blackburn Rovers to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Bristol City clean sheet	33%	85/40
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	29%	12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%

1-010.9%

0-010.2%

0-19.8%

2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers is Bristol City to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Bristol City to score 1.2 goals and Blackburn Rovers 1.1.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Bristol City last 20 games and 13 of Blackburn Rovers last 20.

How are Bristol City playing?

How are Blackburn Rovers playing?

What happened when Bristol City and Blackburn Rovers last met?

It ended Blackburn Rovers 1, Bristol City 2. In the last 2 meetings Bristol City won 1 and Blackburn Rovers won 1.

What is the best bet for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bristol City against Blackburn. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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