Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol City vs Norwich City

ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Bristol City vs Norwich City prediction

Ashton Gate

Bristol CityHome

1.17 : 1.46

expected goals

Norwich CityAway

30%Bristol City

27%Draw

43%Norwich City

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Norwich City is Norwich City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Norwich City to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Bristol City 1.2, Norwich City 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bristol City 30%, the draw 27% and Norwich City 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Bristol City took 5 points from their last 5 games and Norwich City took 3 from 5. Bristol City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bristol City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Norwich City won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Bristol City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Norwich City score 1.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Bristol City games and 15 of Norwich City games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Bristol City won 1 and Norwich City won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bristol City 2, Norwich City 4.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bristol Cityrecent form-1%
Norwich Cityrecent form-6%

Bristol City form D L L D WNorwich City form D L L L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bristol City vs Norwich City: Norwich City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol City host Norwich City in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 at Ashton Gate. Our prediction for Bristol City vs Norwich City is Norwich City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Norwich City form

Norwich City have 8 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bristol City won 1, Norwich City won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bristol City 2, Norwich City 4.

Our call

We expect Bristol City to score about 1.2 goals and Norwich City about 1.5. That points to Norwich City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bristol City	Norwich City
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	8
Draws	5	1
Losses	8	11
Goals scored	22	34
Goals conceded	25	37
Scored per game	1.1	1.7
Conceded per game	1.3	1.9
Home record	4W 0D 6L	4W 1D 5L
Away record	3W 5D 2L	4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1/3
Over 2.5 goals	49%	21/20
Over 3.5 goals	27%	11/4
Both teams to score	54%	5/6
Bristol City or Draw	57%	8/11
Norwich City or Draw	70%	4/9
Bristol City to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Norwich City to win and Over 2.5	25%	3/1
Bristol City clean sheet	23%	10/3
Norwich City clean sheet	31%	9/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

0-19.8%

1-29.0%

0-07.9%

1-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Norwich City is Norwich City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Bristol City vs Norwich City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Bristol City to score 1.2 goals and Norwich City 1.5.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Bristol City last 20 games and 14 of Norwich City last 20.

How are Bristol City playing?

How are Norwich City playing?

What happened when Bristol City and Norwich City last met?

It ended Bristol City 2, Norwich City 4. In the last 2 meetings Bristol City won 1 and Norwich City won 1.

What is the best bet for Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bristol City against Norwich City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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