Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol City vs Sheffield United

ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Bristol City vs Sheffield United prediction

Ashton Gate

Bristol CityHome

1.20 : 1.26

expected goals

Sheffield UnitedAway

34%Bristol City

29%Draw

37%Sheffield Utd

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Sheffield United to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Bristol City 1.2, Sheffield United 1.3
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bristol City 34%, the draw 29% and Sheffield United 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Bristol City took 9 points from their last 5 games and Sheffield United took 3 from 5. Bristol City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bristol City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Sheffield United won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Bristol City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Sheffield United score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Bristol City games and 13 of Sheffield United games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Bristol City won 1 and Sheffield United won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bristol City 1, Sheffield United 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bristol Cityrecent form+1%
Sheffield Utdrecent form-4%

Bristol City form W L L W WSheffield Utd form L L L W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bristol City vs Sheffield United: Sheffield United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol City host Sheffield United in the Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Ashton Gate. Our prediction for Bristol City vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bristol City won 1, Sheffield United won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bristol City 1, Sheffield United 0.

Our call

We expect Bristol City to score about 1.2 goals and Sheffield United about 1.3. That points to Sheffield United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bristol City	Sheffield Utd
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	7
Draws	4	5
Losses	9	8
Goals scored	22	28
Goals conceded	28	28
Scored per game	1.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	4W 0D 6L	2W 2D 5L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	2/5
Over 2.5 goals	45%	5/4
Over 3.5 goals	23%	10/3
Both teams to score	51%	Evens
Bristol City or Draw	63%	4/7
Sheffield United or Draw	66%	8/15
Bristol City to win and Over 2.5	19%	9/2
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Bristol City clean sheet	28%	5/2
Sheffield United clean sheet	30%	9/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%

0-110.0%

1-09.5%

0-09.3%

1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol City vs Sheffield United?

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Bristol City vs Sheffield United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Bristol City to score 1.2 goals and Sheffield United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Sheffield United?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Bristol City last 20 games and 13 of Sheffield United last 20.

How are Bristol City playing?

How are Sheffield United playing?

What happened when Bristol City and Sheffield United last met?

It ended Bristol City 1, Sheffield United 0. In the last 1 meeting Bristol City won 1 and Sheffield United won 0.

What is the best bet for Bristol City vs Sheffield United?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bristol City against Sheffield Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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