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Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
ChampionshipWed 4 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction

Ashton Gate

Bristol CityHome
1.04 : 1.37
expected goals
Wolverhampton WanderersAway
28%Bristol City
29%Draw
44%Wolves
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Bristol City 1.0, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bristol City 28%, the draw 29% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bristol City took 5 points from their last 5 games and Wolverhampton Wanderers took 7 from 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bristol City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bristol City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Bristol City games and 9 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bristol Cityrecent form-1%
  • Wolvesrecent form-1%
  • Bristol Cityrest between games-5%
  • Wolvesrest between games-5%
Bristol City form D L L D WWolves form D D W L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol City host Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship on Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 at Ashton Gate. Our prediction for Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Bristol City to score about 1.0 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers about 1.4. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Bristol CityWolves
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws56
Losses86
Goals scored2228
Goals conceded2524
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record4W 0D 6L4W 4D 2L
Away record3W 5D 2L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%4/9
Over 2.5 goals43%5/4
Over 3.5 goals22%7/2
Both teams to score49%21/20
Bristol City or Draw56%4/5
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw72%2/5
Bristol City to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.524%10/3
Bristol City clean sheet25%3/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet35%9/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-111.5%
0-09.7%
1-28.8%
1-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Bristol City to score 1.0 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.4.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Bristol City last 20 games and 11 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20.

How are Bristol City playing?

Bristol City have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bristol City against Wolves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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