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Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United
FA CupFri 6 Nov, 19:30 United Kingdom time

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction

Memorial Stadium

Bristol RoversHome
1.67 : 1.42
expected goals
Cambridge UnitedAway
43%Bristol Rovers
25%Draw
32%Cambridge
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United is Bristol Rovers to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Bristol Rovers to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Bristol Rovers 1.7, Cambridge United 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bristol Rovers to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 5/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bristol Rovers 43%, the draw 25% and Cambridge United 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bristol Rovers took 3 points from their last 3 games and Cambridge United took 8 from 5. Cambridge United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Bristol Rovers score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.0. Cambridge United score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Bristol Rovers games and 11 of Cambridge United games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bristol Roversrecent form-6%
  • Cambridgerecent form+1%
  • Bristol Roversrest between games-3%
  • Cambridgerest between games-5%
Bristol Rovers form D L L L LCambridge form D L D W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United: Bristol Rovers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol Rovers host Cambridge United in the FA Cup on Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 at Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United is Bristol Rovers to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Bristol Rovers form

Bristol Rovers have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

Cambridge United form

Cambridge United have 7 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Bristol Rovers to score about 1.7 goals and Cambridge United about 1.4. That points to Bristol Rovers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Bristol Rovers to win and Over 2.5 at 5/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Bristol RoversCambridge
Games played319
Wins17
Draws07
Losses25
Goals scored228
Goals conceded324
Scored per game0.71.5
Conceded per game1.01.3
Home record0W 0D 1L5W 2D 4L
Away record1W 0D 1L2W 5D 1L
Clean sheets0%16%
Both teams scored33%74%
Over 2.5 goals33%58%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals37%13/8
Both teams to score62%8/13
Bristol Rovers or Draw68%1/2
Cambridge United or Draw57%8/11
Bristol Rovers to win and Over 2.530%12/5
Cambridge United to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Bristol Rovers clean sheet24%3/1
Cambridge United clean sheet19%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%
1-06.9%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Our prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United is Bristol Rovers to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Bristol Rovers to score 1.7 goals and Cambridge United 1.4.

Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Bristol Rovers last 3 games and 14 of Cambridge United last 19.

How are Bristol Rovers playing?

Bristol Rovers have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

How are Cambridge United playing?

Cambridge United have 7 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bristol Rovers against Cambridge. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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