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Predictions › United States › Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat
NBAWed 14 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat prediction

Kaseya Center

Brooklyn NetsAway
109.0 : 122.9
projected points
Miami HeatHome
15%Nets
85%Heat
Eagle safe pickHeat to win
-565

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat is Miami Heat to win, with a 85% chance. We project Brooklyn Nets 109.0 and Miami Heat 122.9. Our best bet is Heat to win at -565.

Prediction
Miami Heat to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
Brooklyn Nets 109, Miami Heat 123
Projected total
231.8 points
Best bet
Heat to win at -565

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Heat to win
85% chanceFair price -5652 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Heat 85% and Brooklyn Nets 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Heat won 3 of their last 5 and Brooklyn Nets won 2 of their last 5. Miami Heat come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Heat won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Brooklyn Nets won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Heat score 123.9 points a game and let in 124.4. Brooklyn Nets score 103.0 and let in 116.5. Their recent games average 248.3 and 219.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Miami Heat won 3 and Brooklyn Nets won 0. The last one ended Miami Heat 126, Brooklyn Nets 110.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Heat to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Heatrest between games-5%
  • Netsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat: Miami Heat are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Miami Heat host Brooklyn Nets in the NBA on Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 at Kaseya Center. Our prediction for Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat is Miami Heat to win, with a 85% chance. We project Brooklyn Nets 109.0 and Miami Heat 122.9. Our best bet is Heat to win at -565.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2478 points scored and 2488 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Brooklyn Nets form

Brooklyn Nets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2061 points scored and 2329 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Miami Heat won 3, Brooklyn Nets won 0. Last time out it finished Miami Heat 126, Brooklyn Nets 110.

Our call

We expect Brooklyn Nets to score about 109.0 points and Miami Heat about 122.9. That points to Miami Heat to win. Our safest bet is Heat to win at -565.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HeatNets
Games played2020
Wins95
Losses1115
Points scored24782061
Points conceded24882329
Scored per game123.9103.0
Conceded per game124.4116.5
Home record6W 4L4W 7L
Away record3W 7L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Heat spreadCoversFair
Heat -19.533%+204
Heat -16.542%+139
Heat -13.551%-106
Heat -10.561%-156
Heat -7.570%-230
Total pointsOverUnder
225.564%36%
228.557%43%
231.551%49%
234.544%56%
237.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Heat +3.5 wins if Heat win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat?

Our prediction for Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat is Miami Heat to win, with a 85% chance. We project Brooklyn Nets 109.0 and Miami Heat 122.9. Our best bet is Heat to win at -565.

What is the projected score for Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat?

We project Brooklyn Nets 109.0 and Miami Heat 122.9, about 231.8 points in total.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2478 points scored and 2488 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Brooklyn Nets playing?

Brooklyn Nets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2061 points scored and 2329 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Miami Heat and Brooklyn Nets last met?

It ended Miami Heat 126, Brooklyn Nets 110. In the last 3 meetings Miami Heat won 3 and Brooklyn Nets won 0.

What is the best bet for Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat?

Heat to win at -565, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Heat against Nets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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