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NBAMon 12 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards prediction

Capital One Arena

Brooklyn NetsAway
113.3 : 114.9
projected points
Washington WizardsHome
48%Nets
52%Wizards
Eagle safe pickWizards +6.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards is Washington Wizards to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Brooklyn Nets 113.3 and Washington Wizards 114.9. Our best bet is Wizards +6.5 at -310.

Prediction
Washington Wizards to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Brooklyn Nets 113, Washington Wizards 115
Projected total
228.2 points
Best bet
Wizards +6.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wizards +6.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nets to win
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Wizards 52% and Brooklyn Nets 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Wizards won 0 of their last 5 and Brooklyn Nets won 2 of their last 5. Brooklyn Nets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Wizards won 0 of their last 8 games at home. Brooklyn Nets won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Wizards score 115.0 points a game and let in 130.6. Brooklyn Nets score 103.0 and let in 116.5. Their recent games average 245.7 and 219.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Washington Wizards won 1 and Brooklyn Nets won 3. The last one ended Brooklyn Nets 121, Washington Wizards 115.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wizards +6.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wizardsrest between games-3%
  • Netsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards: Washington Wizards shade it

The big picture

Washington Wizards host Brooklyn Nets in the NBA on Mon 12 Oct, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards is Washington Wizards to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Brooklyn Nets 113.3 and Washington Wizards 114.9. Our best bet is Wizards +6.5 at -310.

Washington Wizards form

Washington Wizards have 1 win and 19 losses in their last 20 games, with 2301 points scored and 2612 conceded. At home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Brooklyn Nets form

Brooklyn Nets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2061 points scored and 2329 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Washington Wizards won 1, Brooklyn Nets won 3. Last time out it finished Brooklyn Nets 121, Washington Wizards 115.

Our call

We expect Brooklyn Nets to score about 113.3 points and Washington Wizards about 114.9. That points to Washington Wizards to win. Our safest bet is Wizards +6.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Nets to win at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WizardsNets
Games played2020
Wins15
Losses1915
Points scored23012061
Points conceded26122329
Scored per game115.0103.0
Conceded per game130.6116.5
Home record0W 8L4W 7L
Away record1W 11L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wizards spreadCoversFair
Wizards -7.532%+212
Wizards -4.541%+144
Wizards -1.551%-102
Wizards +1.560%-150
Wizards +4.569%-222
Total pointsOverUnder
222.562%38%
225.556%44%
228.549%51%
231.543%57%
234.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wizards +3.5 wins if Wizards win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards?

Our prediction for Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards is Washington Wizards to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Brooklyn Nets 113.3 and Washington Wizards 114.9. Our best bet is Wizards +6.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards?

We project Brooklyn Nets 113.3 and Washington Wizards 114.9, about 228.2 points in total.

How are Washington Wizards playing?

Washington Wizards have 1 win and 19 losses in their last 20 games, with 2301 points scored and 2612 conceded. At home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Brooklyn Nets playing?

Brooklyn Nets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2061 points scored and 2329 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets last met?

It ended Brooklyn Nets 121, Washington Wizards 115. In the last 4 meetings Washington Wizards won 1 and Brooklyn Nets won 3.

What is the best bet for Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards?

Wizards +6.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wizards against Nets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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