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Predictions › United States › Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings
NFLMon 9 Nov, 20:15 United States time

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

U.S. Bank Stadium

Buffalo BillsAway
23.8 : 22.3
projected points
Minnesota VikingsHome
57%Bills
43%Vikings
Eagle safe pickUnder 54.5 points
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Bills 23.8 and Minnesota Vikings 22.3. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -303.

Prediction
Buffalo Bills to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Buffalo Bills 24, Minnesota Vikings 22
Projected total
46.1 points
Best bet
Under 54.5 points at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 54.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Vikings 43% and Buffalo Bills 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Bills the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Vikings won 5 of their last 5 and Buffalo Bills won 4 of their last 5. Minnesota Vikings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Vikings won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Buffalo Bills won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Vikings score 17.3 points a game and let in 16.9. Buffalo Bills score 29.4 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 34.3 and 53.1 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 54.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vikingsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings: Buffalo Bills shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Vikings host Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Mon 9 Nov, 20:15 at U.S. Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Bills 23.8 and Minnesota Vikings 22.3. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -303.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 346 points scored and 339 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Buffalo Bills form

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 588 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Bills to score about 23.8 points and Minnesota Vikings about 22.3. That points to Buffalo Bills to win. Our safest bet is Under 54.5 points at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VikingsBills
Games played2020
Wins1315
Losses75
Points scored346588
Points conceded339474
Scored per game17.329.4
Conceded per game16.923.7
Home record6W 3L7W 2L
Away record7W 4L8W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Vikings to win43%+135+120-6.2%
Bills to win51%-104-142-13.0%
Vikings +2.549%+105-110-6.8%
Bills -2.545%+123-110-14.4%
Over 47.5 points44%+129-110-16.5%
Under 47.5 points50%+100-110-4.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Vikings spreadCoversFair
Vikings -5.530%+233
Vikings -1.541%+144
Vikings +1.550%+101
Vikings +4.559%-142
Vikings +8.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
39.569%31%
43.558%42%
46.549%51%
49.540%60%
53.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vikings +3.5 wins if Vikings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Josh Allen Dominates NFL Goal Line Rushing Records

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is posting historic numbers near the goal line as Buffalo prepares to face Baltimore.

27 Oct 2026
NFL

Aaron Jones avoids major knee injury as Vikings prepare for Lions

Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones Sr. avoided a serious knee injury and is day to day after Sunday's victory against the Colts.

26 Oct 2026
NFL

Undefeated Vikings Win Again Despite Offense Struggles

The Minnesota Vikings improved to 6-0 with a 16-10 win over the Colts, but their offense continues to struggle.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Bills 23.8 and Minnesota Vikings 22.3. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -303.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?

We project Buffalo Bills 23.8 and Minnesota Vikings 22.3, about 46.1 points in total.

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

Minnesota Vikings have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 346 points scored and 339 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Buffalo Bills playing?

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 588 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?

Under 54.5 points at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vikings against Bills. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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