Predictions › United States › Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals
College FootballWed 11 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals prediction

Scheumann Stadium

Buffalo BullsAway
21.7 : 28.9
projected points
Ball State CardinalsHome
32%Buffalo
68%Ball State
Eagle safe pickBuffalo +17.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals is Ball State Cardinals to win, with a 68% chance. We project Buffalo Bulls 21.7 and Ball State Cardinals 28.9. Our best bet is Buffalo +17.5 at -300.

Prediction
Ball State Cardinals to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Buffalo Bulls 22, Ball State Cardinals 29
Projected total
50.6 points
Best bet
Buffalo +17.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Buffalo +17.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Buffalo to win
32% chanceFair price +2151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ball State Cardinals 68% and Buffalo Bulls 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ball State Cardinals won 2 of their last 5 and Buffalo Bulls won 4 of their last 5. Buffalo Bulls come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ball State Cardinals won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Buffalo Bulls won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ball State Cardinals score 20.2 points a game and let in 31.5. Buffalo Bulls score 23.0 and let in 25.3. Their recent games average 51.7 and 48.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Buffalo +17.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals: Ball State Cardinals are favourites

The big picture

Ball State Cardinals host Buffalo Bulls in the College Football on Wed 11 Nov, 00:00 at Scheumann Stadium. Our prediction for Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals is Ball State Cardinals to win, with a 68% chance. We project Buffalo Bulls 21.7 and Ball State Cardinals 28.9. Our best bet is Buffalo +17.5 at -300.

Ball State Cardinals form

Ball State Cardinals have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 363 points scored and 567 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Buffalo Bulls form

Buffalo Bulls have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 414 points scored and 456 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Bulls to score about 21.7 points and Ball State Cardinals about 28.9. That points to Ball State Cardinals to win. Our safest bet is Buffalo +17.5 at -300. Our bold bet is Buffalo to win at +215.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

Ball StateBuffalo
Games played1818
Wins79
Losses119
Points scored363414
Points conceded567456
Scored per game20.223.0
Conceded per game31.525.3
Home record6W 2L5W 6L
Away record1W 9L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ball State spreadCoversFair
Ball State -14.533%+207
Ball State -10.542%+138
Ball State -7.549%+102
Ball State -4.557%-132
Ball State -0.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.558%42%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ball State +3.5 wins if Ball State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals?

Our prediction for Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals is Ball State Cardinals to win, with a 68% chance. We project Buffalo Bulls 21.7 and Ball State Cardinals 28.9. Our best bet is Buffalo +17.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals?

We project Buffalo Bulls 21.7 and Ball State Cardinals 28.9, about 50.6 points in total.

How are Ball State Cardinals playing?

Ball State Cardinals have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 363 points scored and 567 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Buffalo Bulls playing?

Buffalo Bulls have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 414 points scored and 456 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals?

Buffalo +17.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ball State against Buffalo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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