Quick answer
Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 2.8. Our best bet is Sabres +1.5 at -250.
- Prediction
- Buffalo Sabres to win
- Chance
- 52%
- Projected score
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
- Projected total
- 5.7 goals
- Best bet
- Sabres +1.5 at -250
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Sabres +1.5
75% chancePrice -250+4.5% value2 units
★ Eagle value pick
Sabres +1.5
75% chancePrice -250+4.5% value2 units
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Columbus Blue Jackets 48% and Buffalo Sabres 52%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Columbus Blue Jackets the favourite at -115, so take care with this one.
- 2
Recent formColumbus Blue Jackets won 3 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 1 of their last 5. Columbus Blue Jackets come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayColumbus Blue Jackets won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 6 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringColumbus Blue Jackets score 2.5 goals a game and let in 2.6. Buffalo Sabres score 3.3 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 5.2 and 6.0 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 5 meetings, Columbus Blue Jackets won 2 and Buffalo Sabres won 3. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 1.
- 6
Where the value isSabres +1.5 is priced at -250. Our fair price is -294, so the bookmaker pays about 4.5% more than it should.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Blue Jacketsrest between games-5%
- Sabresrest between games-5%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewBuffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Buffalo Sabres shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Columbus Blue Jackets host Buffalo Sabres in the NHL on Thu 1 Oct, 19:00 at Nationwide Arena. Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 2.8. Our best bet is Sabres +1.5 at -250.
Columbus Blue Jackets form
Columbus Blue Jackets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.
Buffalo Sabres form
Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 5 times in our records. Columbus Blue Jackets won 2, Buffalo Sabres won 3. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 1.
Our call
We expect Buffalo Sabres to score about 2.9 goals and Columbus Blue Jackets about 2.8. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Sabres +1.5 at -250. Our value bet is Sabres +1.5 at -250.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blue Jackets +3.5 wins if Blue Jackets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 2.8. Our best bet is Sabres +1.5 at -250.
What is the projected score for Buffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
We project Buffalo Sabres 2.9 and Columbus Blue Jackets 2.8, about 5.7 goals in total.
How are Columbus Blue Jackets playing?
Columbus Blue Jackets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.
How are Buffalo Sabres playing?
Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Columbus Blue Jackets and Buffalo Sabres last met?
It ended Buffalo Sabres 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 1. In the last 5 meetings Columbus Blue Jackets won 2 and Buffalo Sabres won 3.
What is the best bet for Buffalo Sabres vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
Sabres +1.5 at -250, with a 75% chance. That price pays about 4.5% more than our fair price.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blue Jackets against Sabres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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