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Predictions › United States › Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens
NHLTue 13 Oct, 18:30 United States time

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Buffalo SabresAway
3.4 : 3.0
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
60%Sabres
40%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-345

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 60% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.4 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -345.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Buffalo Sabres 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -345

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
78% chanceFair price -3452 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canadiens to win
40% chanceFair price +1521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 40% and Buffalo Sabres 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 3 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 2 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.3 goals a game and let in 3.1. Buffalo Sabres score 3.1 and let in 3.1. Their recent games average 6.4 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 3 and Buffalo Sabres won 2. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 2, Montreal Canadiens 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Sabresrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens: Buffalo Sabres are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Buffalo Sabres in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 18:30 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 60% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.4 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -345.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 62 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 3, Buffalo Sabres won 2. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 2, Montreal Canadiens 3.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Sabres to score about 3.4 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 3.0. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -345. Our bold bet is Canadiens to win at +152.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensSabres
Games played2020
Wins119
Losses911
Goals scored6662
Goals conceded6263
Scored per game3.33.1
Conceded per game3.13.1
Home record4W 4L4W 7L
Away record7W 5L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -0.535%+183
Canadiens +0.552%-106
Canadiens +1.568%-208
Total goalsOverUnder
5.565%35%
6.548%52%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 60% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.4 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -345.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Buffalo Sabres 3.4 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 62 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres last met?

It ended Buffalo Sabres 2, Montreal Canadiens 3. In the last 5 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 3 and Buffalo Sabres won 2.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens?

Under 8 goals at -345, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Sabres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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