EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLThu 15 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Buffalo SabresAway
3.7 : 2.9
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
67%Sabres
33%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickSabres +1
-365

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 67% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Sabres +1 at -365.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Buffalo Sabres 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Sabres +1 at -365

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sabres +1
78% chanceFair price -3652 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
33% chanceFair price +1991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 33% and Buffalo Sabres 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 2 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.8. Buffalo Sabres score 3.1 and let in 3.1. Their recent games average 6.7 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Buffalo Sabres won 3. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sabres +1 has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-2%
  • Sabresrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Buffalo Sabres are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Buffalo Sabres in the NHL on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 67% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Sabres +1 at -365.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, Buffalo Sabres won 3. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Sabres to score about 3.7 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.9. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Sabres +1 at -365. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +199.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsSabres
Games played2020
Wins69
Losses1411
Goals scored5762
Goals conceded7663
Scored per game2.93.1
Conceded per game3.83.1
Home record3W 7L4W 7L
Away record3W 7L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.529%+244
Maple Leafs +0.545%+124
Maple Leafs +1.561%-157
Total goalsOverUnder
5.569%31%
6.553%47%
7.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Sabres Forward Jiri Kulich Hits Game Winner After Year Out With Blood Clot

Buffalo Sabres forward Jiri Kulich scored the game winner against Chicago after missing nearly a year with a career threatening blood clot.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 67% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Sabres +1 at -365.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres last met?

It ended Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2. In the last 4 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Buffalo Sabres won 3.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Sabres +1 at -365, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Sabres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.