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Predictions › Spain › Burgos vs Albacete
LaLiga 2Sun 22 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Burgos vs Albacete prediction

Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

BurgosHome
1.42 : 0.73
expected goals
AlbaceteAway
53%Burgos
29%Draw
18%Albacete
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burgos vs Albacete is Burgos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Burgos to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Burgos 1.4, Albacete 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Burgos 53%, the draw 29% and Albacete 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Burgos took 10 points from their last 5 games and Albacete took 9 from 5. Burgos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Burgos won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Albacete won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Burgos score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Albacete score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Burgos games and 13 of Albacete games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Burgos won 1 and Albacete won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Albacete 2, Burgos 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Burgosrecent form+6%
  • Albaceterecent form+3%
Burgos form W D W W WAlbacete form D W W W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Burgos vs Albacete: Burgos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burgos host Albacete in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 22 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío. Our prediction for Burgos vs Albacete is Burgos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Burgos form

Burgos have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Albacete form

Albacete have 8 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Burgos won 1, Albacete won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Albacete 2, Burgos 3.

Our call

We expect Burgos to score about 1.4 goals and Albacete about 0.7. That points to Burgos to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BurgosAlbacete
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws61
Losses411
Goals scored2525
Goals conceded1832
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game0.91.6
Home record6W 4D 1L5W 0D 5L
Away record4W 2D 3L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.56
Over 2.5 goals36%2.74
Over 3.5 goals17%5.83
Both teams to score40%2.50
Burgos or Draw82%1.23
Albacete or Draw47%2.12
Burgos to win and Over 2.525%3.95
Albacete to win and Over 2.58%13.12
Burgos clean sheet48%2.08
Albacete clean sheet24%4.15

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.8%
1-112.8%
0-012.3%
2-011.8%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Burgos vs Albacete?

Our prediction for Burgos vs Albacete is Burgos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Burgos vs Albacete?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Burgos to score 1.4 goals and Albacete 0.7.

Will both teams score in Burgos vs Albacete?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Burgos last 20 games and 12 of Albacete last 20.

How are Burgos playing?

Burgos have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Albacete playing?

Albacete have 8 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Burgos and Albacete last met?

It ended Albacete 2, Burgos 3. In the last 2 meetings Burgos won 1 and Albacete won 1.

What is the best bet for Burgos vs Albacete?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Burgos against Albacete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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