EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Spain › Burgos vs Granada
LaLiga 2Mon 12 Oct, 14:15 Spain time

Burgos vs Granada prediction

Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

BurgosHome
1.67 : 0.78
expected goals
GranadaAway
58%Burgos
25%Draw
17%Granada
Eagle safe pickBurgos or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burgos vs Granada is Burgos to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Burgos or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Burgos to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Burgos 1.7, Granada 0.8
Best bet
Burgos or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Burgos or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Burgos to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Burgos 58%, the draw 25% and Granada 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Burgos took 11 points from their last 5 games and Granada took 4 from 5. Burgos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Burgos won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Granada won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Burgos score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.7. Granada score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Burgos games and 10 of Granada games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Burgos won 1 and Granada won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Granada 0, Burgos 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Burgos or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Burgosrecent form+4%
  • Granadarecent form-3%
Burgos form W W W D DGranada form L L D L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Burgos vs Granada: Burgos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burgos host Granada in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 12 Oct, 14:15 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío. Our prediction for Burgos vs Granada is Burgos to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Burgos or Draw at 1.23.

Burgos form

Burgos have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Granada form

Granada have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Burgos won 1, Granada won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Granada 0, Burgos 1.

Our call

We expect Burgos to score about 1.7 goals and Granada about 0.8. That points to Burgos to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Burgos or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Burgos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BurgosGranada
Games played2020
Wins116
Draws73
Losses211
Goals scored2726
Goals conceded1434
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game0.71.7
Home record6W 4D 0L3W 2D 4L
Away record5W 3D 2L3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets55%25%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.26
Over 3.5 goals23%4.31
Both teams to score45%2.24
Burgos or Draw83%1.20
Granada or Draw42%2.37
Burgos to win and Over 2.532%3.11
Granada to win and Over 2.58%12.58
Burgos clean sheet46%2.18
Granada clean sheet19%5.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.7%
2-012.0%
1-111.9%
2-19.4%
0-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Burgos vs Granada?

Our prediction for Burgos vs Granada is Burgos to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Burgos or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Burgos vs Granada?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Burgos to score 1.7 goals and Granada 0.8.

Will both teams score in Burgos vs Granada?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Burgos last 20 games and 11 of Granada last 20.

How are Burgos playing?

Burgos have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Burgos and Granada last met?

It ended Granada 0, Burgos 1. In the last 2 meetings Burgos won 1 and Granada won 0.

What is the best bet for Burgos vs Granada?

Burgos or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Burgos against Granada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.