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Predictions › United Kingdom › Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction

Pirelli Stadium

Burton AlbionHome
2.05 : 1.32
expected goals
AR&AFC Rushden & DiamondsAway
54%Burton Albion
22%Draw
24%AFC Rushden
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Burton Albion to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction
Burton Albion to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Burton Albion 2.0, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Burton Albion to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Burton Albion 54%, the draw 22% and AFC Rushden & Diamonds 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AFC Rushdenrecent form+6%
Burton Albion form D D D L WAFC Rushden form D W W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds: Burton Albion are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burton Albion host AFC Rushden & Diamonds in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Pirelli Stadium. Our prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Burton Albion to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

AFC Rushden & Diamonds form

AFC Rushden & Diamonds have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Burton Albion to score about 2.0 goals and AFC Rushden & Diamonds about 1.3. That points to Burton Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Burton Albion to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Burton AlbionAFC Rushden
Games played20n/a
Wins5n/a
Draws10n/a
Losses5n/a
Goals scored25n/a
Goals conceded26n/a
Scored per game1.3n/a
Conceded per game1.3n/a
Home record3W 6D 2Ln/a
Away record2W 4D 3Ln/a
Clean sheets20%n/a
Both teams scored70%n/a
Over 2.5 goals55%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1/6
Over 2.5 goals66%8/15
Over 3.5 goals44%5/4
Both teams to score64%8/15
Burton Albion or Draw76%3/10
AFC Rushden & Diamonds or Draw46%6/5
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.540%6/4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Burton Albion clean sheet27%11/4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds clean sheet13%7/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-19.5%
2-07.2%
3-16.5%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Burton Albion to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Burton Albion to score 2.0 goals and AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.3.

Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance.

How are Burton Albion playing?

Burton Albion have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Burton Albion against AFC Rushden. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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