Predictions › United Kingdom › Burton Albion vs Bradford City

League OneTue 20 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Burton Albion vs Bradford City prediction

Pirelli Stadium

Burton AlbionHome

1.21 : 1.13

expected goals

Bradford CityAway

37%Burton Albion

30%Draw

33%Bradford

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Bradford City is Burton Albion to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Burton Albion to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Burton Albion 1.2, Bradford City 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Burton Albion 37%, the draw 30% and Bradford City 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Burton Albion took 4 points from their last 5 games and Bradford City took 11 from 5. Bradford City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Burton Albion won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Bradford City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Burton Albion score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Bradford City score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Burton Albion games and 5 of Bradford City games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Burton Albion won 2 and Bradford City won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Burton Albion 2, Bradford City 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bradfordrecent form+4%
Burton Albionrest between games-5%
Bradfordrest between games-5%

Burton Albion form D W L W LBradford form D W D W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Burton Albion vs Bradford City: Burton Albion shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burton Albion host Bradford City in the League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 at Pirelli Stadium. Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Bradford City is Burton Albion to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Bradford City form

Bradford City have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Burton Albion won 2, Bradford City won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Burton Albion 2, Bradford City 1.

Our call

We expect Burton Albion to score about 1.2 goals and Bradford City about 1.1. That points to Burton Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Burton Albion	Bradford
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	7	5
Goals scored	24	21
Goals conceded	27	15
Scored per game	1.2	1.1
Conceded per game	1.4	0.8
Home record	3W 5D 3L	3W 4D 3L
Away record	2W 3D 4L	6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	15%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	68%	4/9
Over 2.5 goals	41%	7/5
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4/1
Both teams to score	48%	11/10
Burton Albion or Draw	67%	1/2
Bradford City or Draw	63%	4/7
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.5	19%	4/1
Bradford City to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Burton Albion clean sheet	32%	85/40
Bradford City clean sheet	30%	12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%

1-010.9%

0-010.5%

0-110.2%

2-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Burton Albion vs Bradford City?

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Bradford City is Burton Albion to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Burton Albion vs Bradford City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Burton Albion to score 1.2 goals and Bradford City 1.1.

Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Bradford City?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Burton Albion last 20 games and 8 of Bradford City last 20.

How are Burton Albion playing?

How are Bradford City playing?

What happened when Burton Albion and Bradford City last met?

It ended Burton Albion 2, Bradford City 1. In the last 2 meetings Burton Albion won 2 and Bradford City won 0.

What is the best bet for Burton Albion vs Bradford City?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Burton Albion against Bradford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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