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Predictions › United Kingdom › Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
League OneSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient prediction

Pirelli Stadium

Burton AlbionHome
1.29 : 1.41
expected goals
Leyton OrientAway
34%Burton Albion
27%Draw
39%Leyton Orient
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient is Leyton Orient to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Leyton Orient to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Burton Albion 1.3, Leyton Orient 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Burton Albion 34%, the draw 27% and Leyton Orient 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Burton Albion took 4 points from their last 5 games and Leyton Orient took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Burton Albion won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Leyton Orient won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Burton Albion score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Leyton Orient score 1.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Burton Albion games and 8 of Leyton Orient games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Burton Albion won 0 and Leyton Orient won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Leyton Orient 2, Burton Albion 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leyton Orientrecent form-3%
Burton Albion form D W L W LLeyton Orient form D L W L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: Leyton Orient shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burton Albion host Leyton Orient in the League One on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Pirelli Stadium. Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient is Leyton Orient to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Leyton Orient form

Leyton Orient have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Burton Albion won 0, Leyton Orient won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Leyton Orient 2, Burton Albion 2.

Our call

We expect Burton Albion to score about 1.3 goals and Leyton Orient about 1.4. That points to Leyton Orient to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws87
Losses79
Goals scored2420
Goals conceded2723
Scored per game1.21.0
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 5D 3L2W 2D 7L
Away record2W 3D 4L2W 5D 2L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored70%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1/3
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens
Over 3.5 goals29%5/2
Both teams to score56%4/5
Burton Albion or Draw61%4/6
Leyton Orient or Draw66%1/2
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Leyton Orient to win and Over 2.524%10/3
Burton Albion clean sheet24%3/1
Leyton Orient clean sheet27%13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-18.7%
1-28.6%
1-07.9%
2-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient is Leyton Orient to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Burton Albion to score 1.3 goals and Leyton Orient 1.4.

Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Burton Albion last 20 games and 8 of Leyton Orient last 20.

How are Burton Albion playing?

Burton Albion have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Leyton Orient playing?

Leyton Orient have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Burton Albion and Leyton Orient last met?

It ended Leyton Orient 2, Burton Albion 2. In the last 2 meetings Burton Albion won 0 and Leyton Orient won 1.

What is the best bet for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Burton Albion against Leyton Orient. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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