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Predictions › United States › BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 19:00 United States time

BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction

Amon G. Carter Stadium

BYU CougarsAway
27.7 : 22.1
projected points
TCU Horned FrogsHome
68%BYU
32%TCU
Eagle safe pickBYU to win
-230

Quick answer

Our prediction for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs is BYU Cougars to win, with a 68% chance. We project BYU Cougars 27.7 and TCU Horned Frogs 22.1. Our best bet is BYU to win at -230.

Prediction
BYU Cougars to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
BYU Cougars 28, TCU Horned Frogs 22
Projected total
49.8 points
Best bet
BYU to win at -230

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BYU to win
66% chancePrice -2301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TCU Horned Frogs 32% and BYU Cougars 68%. The bookmakers agree and make BYU Cougars the favourite at -230.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TCU Horned Frogs won 3 of their last 5 and BYU Cougars won 4 of their last 5. BYU Cougars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TCU Horned Frogs won 8 of their last 10 games at home. BYU Cougars won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    TCU Horned Frogs score 29.3 points a game and let in 22.8. BYU Cougars score 31.7 and let in 20.8. Their recent games average 52.1 and 52.5 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, TCU Horned Frogs won 0 and BYU Cougars won 1. The last one ended BYU Cougars 44, TCU Horned Frogs 13.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    BYU to win has a 66% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • TCUrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs: BYU Cougars are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

TCU Horned Frogs host BYU Cougars in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Our prediction for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs is BYU Cougars to win, with a 68% chance. We project BYU Cougars 27.7 and TCU Horned Frogs 22.1. Our best bet is BYU to win at -230.

TCU Horned Frogs form

TCU Horned Frogs have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 468 points scored and 365 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

BYU Cougars form

BYU Cougars have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 476 points scored and 312 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. TCU Horned Frogs won 0, BYU Cougars won 1. Last time out it finished BYU Cougars 44, TCU Horned Frogs 13.

Our call

We expect BYU Cougars to score about 27.7 points and TCU Horned Frogs about 22.1. That points to BYU Cougars to win. Our safest bet is BYU to win at -230.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

TCUBYU
Games played1615
Wins1013
Losses62
Points scored468476
Points conceded365312
Scored per game29.331.7
Conceded per game22.820.8
Home record8W 2L7W 0L
Away record2W 4L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
TCU to win32%+212+190-7.1%
BYU to win66%-196-230-4.9%
TCU +6.549%+104-112-7.2%
BYU -6.545%+124-108-13.9%
Over 49.5 points48%+110-105-7.2%
Under 49.5 points46%+116-115-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

TCU spreadCoversFair
TCU -1.533%+205
TCU +2.542%+137
TCU +5.550%+101
TCU +8.557%-133
TCU +12.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
42.568%32%
46.558%42%
49.551%49%
52.543%57%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. TCU +3.5 wins if TCU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Colorado State Apologizes For Fan Chants Targeting BYU

Colorado State apologized to BYU on Saturday night after fans directed derogatory religious chants at the Cougars during their matchup.

20 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Our prediction for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs is BYU Cougars to win, with a 68% chance. We project BYU Cougars 27.7 and TCU Horned Frogs 22.1. Our best bet is BYU to win at -230.

What is the projected score for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

We project BYU Cougars 27.7 and TCU Horned Frogs 22.1, about 49.8 points in total.

How are TCU Horned Frogs playing?

TCU Horned Frogs have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 468 points scored and 365 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are BYU Cougars playing?

BYU Cougars have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 476 points scored and 312 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when TCU Horned Frogs and BYU Cougars last met?

It ended BYU Cougars 44, TCU Horned Frogs 13. In the last 1 meeting TCU Horned Frogs won 0 and BYU Cougars won 1.

What is the best bet for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

BYU to win at -230, with a 66% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in TCU against BYU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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