Predictions › United States › BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 00:00 United States time

BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights prediction

Acrisure Bounce House

BYU CougarsAway
27.9 : 18.4
projected points
UCF KnightsHome
76%BYU
24%UCF
Eagle safe pickBYU to win
-375

Quick answer

Our prediction for BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights is BYU Cougars to win, with a 76% chance. We project BYU Cougars 27.9 and UCF Knights 18.4. Our best bet is BYU to win at -375.

Prediction
BYU Cougars to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
BYU Cougars 28, UCF Knights 18
Projected total
46.2 points
Best bet
BYU to win at -375

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BYU to win
75% chancePrice -3751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UCF Knights 24% and BYU Cougars 76%. The bookmakers agree and make BYU Cougars the favourite at -375.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UCF Knights won 2 of their last 5 and BYU Cougars won 5 of their last 5. BYU Cougars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UCF Knights won 6 of their last 8 games at home. BYU Cougars won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UCF Knights score 24.8 points a game and let in 24.8. BYU Cougars score 30.4 and let in 19.5. Their recent games average 49.6 and 49.9 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, UCF Knights won 0 and BYU Cougars won 1. The last one ended BYU Cougars 41, UCF Knights 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    BYU to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights: BYU Cougars are favourites

The big picture

UCF Knights host BYU Cougars in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 at Acrisure Bounce House. Our prediction for BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights is BYU Cougars to win, with a 76% chance. We project BYU Cougars 27.9 and UCF Knights 18.4. Our best bet is BYU to win at -375.

UCF Knights form

UCF Knights have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 397 points scored and 396 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

BYU Cougars form

BYU Cougars have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 517 points scored and 332 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. UCF Knights won 0, BYU Cougars won 1. Last time out it finished BYU Cougars 41, UCF Knights 21.

Our call

We expect BYU Cougars to score about 27.9 points and UCF Knights about 18.4. That points to BYU Cougars to win. Our safest bet is BYU to win at -375.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

UCFBYU
Games played1617
Wins615
Losses102
Points scored397517
Points conceded396332
Scored per game24.830.4
Conceded per game24.819.5
Home record6W 2L8W 0L
Away record0W 8L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
UCF to win24%+324+295-6.9%
BYU to win75%-298-375-5.1%
UCF +9.548%+107-110-7.9%
BYU -9.548%+107-110-7.9%
Over 45.5 points50%+102-110-5.3%
Under 45.5 points47%+113-110-10.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

UCF spreadCoversFair
UCF +2.533%+202
UCF +6.543%+135
UCF +9.550%+100
UCF +12.557%-135
UCF +16.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
39.566%34%
43.557%43%
46.549%51%
49.542%58%
53.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UCF +3.5 wins if UCF win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights?

Our prediction for BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights is BYU Cougars to win, with a 76% chance. We project BYU Cougars 27.9 and UCF Knights 18.4. Our best bet is BYU to win at -375.

What is the projected score for BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights?

We project BYU Cougars 27.9 and UCF Knights 18.4, about 46.2 points in total.

How are UCF Knights playing?

UCF Knights have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 397 points scored and 396 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are BYU Cougars playing?

BYU Cougars have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 517 points scored and 332 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when UCF Knights and BYU Cougars last met?

It ended BYU Cougars 41, UCF Knights 21. In the last 1 meeting UCF Knights won 0 and BYU Cougars won 1.

What is the best bet for BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights?

BYU to win at -375, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UCF against BYU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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