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Predictions › Spain › Cádiz vs Ceuta
LaLiga 2Sun 25 Oct, 15:15 Spain time

Cádiz vs Ceuta prediction

Nuevo Mirandilla

CádizHome
1.45 : 1.13
expected goals
CeutaAway
44%Cádiz
28%Draw
29%Ceuta
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cádiz vs Ceuta is Cádiz to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
Cádiz to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cádiz 1.4, Ceuta 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cádiz 44%, the draw 28% and Ceuta 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cádiz took 4 points from their last 5 games and Ceuta took 5 from 5. Ceuta come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cádiz won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Ceuta won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cádiz score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Ceuta score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cádiz games and 10 of Ceuta games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cádiz won 0 and Ceuta won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Ceuta 2, Cádiz 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cádizrecent form-1%
Cádiz form D W D L LCeuta form D D W D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cádiz vs Ceuta: Cádiz shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cádiz host Ceuta in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 25 Oct, 15:15 at Nuevo Mirandilla. Our prediction for Cádiz vs Ceuta is Cádiz to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Ceuta form

Ceuta have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cádiz won 0, Ceuta won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Ceuta 2, Cádiz 1.

Our call

We expect Cádiz to score about 1.4 goals and Ceuta about 1.1. That points to Cádiz to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CádizCeuta
Games played2020
Wins25
Draws67
Losses128
Goals scored2120
Goals conceded3333
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record2W 2D 7L3W 4D 4L
Away record0W 4D 5L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.85
Both teams to score53%1.90
Cádiz or Draw71%1.40
Ceuta or Draw56%1.78
Cádiz to win and Over 2.526%3.92
Ceuta to win and Over 2.516%6.24
Cádiz clean sheet32%3.09
Ceuta clean sheet23%4.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-010.2%
2-19.0%
0-08.3%
2-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cádiz vs Ceuta?

Our prediction for Cádiz vs Ceuta is Cádiz to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Cádiz vs Ceuta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Cádiz to score 1.4 goals and Ceuta 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cádiz vs Ceuta?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cádiz last 20 games and 12 of Ceuta last 20.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Ceuta playing?

Ceuta have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Cádiz and Ceuta last met?

It ended Ceuta 2, Cádiz 1. In the last 2 meetings Cádiz won 0 and Ceuta won 1.

What is the best bet for Cádiz vs Ceuta?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cádiz against Ceuta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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