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Predictions › Spain › Cádiz vs Leganés
LaLiga 2Sat 3 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Cádiz vs Leganés prediction

Nuevo Mirandilla

CádizHome
0.81 : 1.02
expected goals
LeganésAway
27%Cádiz
34%Draw
39%Leganés
Eagle safe pickLeganés or Draw
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cádiz vs Leganés is Leganés to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Leganés or Draw at 1.35.

Prediction
Leganés to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Cádiz 0.8, Leganés 1.0
Best bet
Leganés or Draw at 1.35
Both teams to score
36%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Leganés or Draw
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
17% chanceFair price 5.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cádiz 27%, the draw 34% and Leganés 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cádiz took 2 points from their last 5 games and Leganés took 10 from 5. Leganés come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cádiz won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Leganés won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cádiz score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. Leganés score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cádiz games and 9 of Leganés games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cádiz won 1 and Leganés won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cádiz 3, Leganés 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Leganés or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cádizrecent form-4%
  • Leganésrecent form+3%
  • Cádizrest between games-5%
Cádiz form D L L L DLeganés form W L D W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cádiz vs Leganés: Leganés shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cádiz host Leganés in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 3 Oct, 16:30 at Nuevo Mirandilla. Our prediction for Cádiz vs Leganés is Leganés to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Leganés or Draw at 1.35.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Leganés form

Leganés have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cádiz won 1, Leganés won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cádiz 3, Leganés 0.

Our call

We expect Cádiz to score about 0.8 goals and Leganés about 1.0. That points to Leganés to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Leganés or Draw at 1.35. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CádizLeganés
Games played2020
Wins26
Draws65
Losses129
Goals scored1920
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game0.91.0
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record1W 2D 7L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals55%1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%3.61
Over 3.5 goals11%8.82
Both teams to score36%2.76
Cádiz or Draw61%1.64
Leganés or Draw73%1.37
Cádiz to win and Over 2.510%10.16
Leganés to win and Over 2.515%6.72
Cádiz clean sheet36%2.78
Leganés clean sheet45%2.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.9%
0-115.6%
1-114.0%
1-012.2%
0-28.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cádiz vs Leganés?

Our prediction for Cádiz vs Leganés is Leganés to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Leganés or Draw at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Cádiz vs Leganés?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Cádiz to score 0.8 goals and Leganés 1.0.

Will both teams score in Cádiz vs Leganés?

Both teams to score has a 36% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cádiz last 20 games and 9 of Leganés last 20.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Leganés playing?

Leganés have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Cádiz and Leganés last met?

It ended Cádiz 3, Leganés 0. In the last 1 meeting Cádiz won 1 and Leganés won 0.

What is the best bet for Cádiz vs Leganés?

Leganés or Draw at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cádiz against Leganés. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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