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Predictions › Spain › Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón
LaLiga 2Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Spain time

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón prediction

Nuevo Mirandilla

CádizHome
0.95 : 1.41
expected goals
Sporting GijónAway
25%Cádiz
29%Draw
47%Gijón
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Sporting Gijón to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cádiz 0.9, Sporting Gijón 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cádiz 25%, the draw 29% and Sporting Gijón 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cádiz took 2 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Gijón took 6 from 5. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cádiz won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Sporting Gijón won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cádiz score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. Sporting Gijón score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cádiz games and 10 of Sporting Gijón games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cádiz won 1 and Sporting Gijón won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting Gijón 3, Cádiz 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cádizrecent form-4%
  • Gijónrecent form-1%
Cádiz form D L L L DGijón form L W L L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón: Sporting Gijón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cádiz host Sporting Gijón in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 at Nuevo Mirandilla. Our prediction for Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cádiz won 1, Sporting Gijón won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Gijón 3, Cádiz 0.

Our call

We expect Cádiz to score about 0.9 goals and Sporting Gijón about 1.4. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CádizGijón
Games played2020
Wins29
Draws62
Losses129
Goals scored1927
Goals conceded3523
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record1W 2D 7L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.38
Over 3.5 goals21%4.70
Both teams to score47%2.12
Cádiz or Draw53%1.89
Sporting Gijón or Draw75%1.32
Cádiz to win and Over 2.512%8.28
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.525%4.00
Cádiz clean sheet24%4.10
Sporting Gijón clean sheet39%2.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-112.6%
0-010.2%
0-29.4%
1-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón?

Our prediction for Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Cádiz to score 0.9 goals and Sporting Gijón 1.4.

Will both teams score in Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cádiz last 20 games and 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

Sporting Gijón have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Cádiz and Sporting Gijón last met?

It ended Sporting Gijón 3, Cádiz 0. In the last 2 meetings Cádiz won 1 and Sporting Gijón won 1.

What is the best bet for Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cádiz against Gijón. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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