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Predictions › United States › Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks
NHLTue 13 Oct, 21:45 United States time

Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Honda Center

Calgary FlamesAway
2.6 : 4.0
projected goals
Anaheim DucksHome
24%Flames
76%Ducks
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-341

Quick answer

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 76% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -341.

Prediction
Anaheim Ducks to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Calgary Flames 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -341

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3412 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flames to win
25% chanceFair price +2961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Anaheim Ducks 76% and Calgary Flames 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Anaheim Ducks won 2 of their last 5 and Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 5. Anaheim Ducks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Anaheim Ducks won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Anaheim Ducks score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.8. Calgary Flames score 2.8 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 3 and Calgary Flames won 1. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 3, Calgary Flames 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
  • Flamesrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Anaheim Ducks host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 21:45 at Honda Center. Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 76% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -341.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Anaheim Ducks won 3, Calgary Flames won 1. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 3, Calgary Flames 5.

Our call

We expect Calgary Flames to score about 2.6 goals and Anaheim Ducks about 4.0. That points to Anaheim Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -341. Our bold bet is Flames to win at +296.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DucksFlames
Games played2020
Wins99
Losses1111
Goals scored6155
Goals conceded7666
Scored per game3.02.8
Conceded per game3.83.3
Home record5W 4L8W 4L
Away record4W 7L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ducks spreadCoversFair
Ducks -2.531%+218
Ducks -1.547%+111
Ducks -0.564%-175
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.552%48%
7.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks?

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 76% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.0. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -341.

What is the projected score for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks?

We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.0, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Anaheim Ducks and Calgary Flames last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 3, Calgary Flames 5. In the last 4 meetings Anaheim Ducks won 3 and Calgary Flames won 1.

What is the best bet for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks?

Over 5 goals at -341, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ducks against Flames. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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