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NHLSun 15 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Honda Center

Calgary FlamesAway
2.6 : 4.1
projected goals
Anaheim DucksHome
23%Flames
77%Ducks
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-394

Quick answer

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 77% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.1. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -394.

Prediction
Anaheim Ducks to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Calgary Flames 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -394

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
80% chanceFair price -3942 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Anaheim Ducks 77% and Calgary Flames 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Anaheim Ducks won 3 of their last 5 and Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5. Anaheim Ducks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Anaheim Ducks won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Anaheim Ducks score 3.4 goals a game and let in 4.0. Calgary Flames score 2.4 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 7.5 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 3 and Calgary Flames won 2. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 2, Calgary Flames 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks are favourites

The big picture

Anaheim Ducks host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Sun 15 Nov, 20:00 at Honda Center. Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 77% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.1. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -394.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 81 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Anaheim Ducks won 3, Calgary Flames won 2. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 2, Calgary Flames 4.

Our call

We expect Calgary Flames to score about 2.6 goals and Anaheim Ducks about 4.1. That points to Anaheim Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -394.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DucksFlames
Games played2020
Wins98
Losses1112
Goals scored6848
Goals conceded8168
Scored per game3.42.4
Conceded per game4.03.4
Home record3W 6L6W 4L
Away record6W 5L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ducks spreadCoversFair
Ducks -2.533%+200
Ducks -1.549%+102
Ducks -0.566%-191
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.553%47%
7.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks?

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 77% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.1. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -394.

What is the projected score for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks?

We project Calgary Flames 2.6 and Anaheim Ducks 4.1, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 81 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Anaheim Ducks and Calgary Flames last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 2, Calgary Flames 4. In the last 5 meetings Anaheim Ducks won 3 and Calgary Flames won 2.

What is the best bet for Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks?

Over 5 goals at -394, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ducks against Flames. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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