Predictions › United States › Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLSat 31 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Calgary FlamesAway
2.1 : 4.5
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
13%Flames
87%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-369

Quick answer

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 87% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.1 and Colorado Avalanche 4.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -369.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 5
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -369

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3692 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 87% and Calgary Flames 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5 and Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.4 goals a game and let in 2.9. Calgary Flames score 2.4 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 4 and Calgary Flames won 0. The last one ended Calgary Flames 3, Colorado Avalanche 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Sat 31 Oct, 22:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 87% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.1 and Colorado Avalanche 4.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -369.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 4, Calgary Flames won 0. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 3, Colorado Avalanche 7.

Our call

We expect Calgary Flames to score about 2.1 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 4.5. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -369.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheFlames
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Goals scored6747
Goals conceded5875
Scored per game3.42.4
Conceded per game2.93.8
Home record6W 4L4W 5L
Away record3W 7L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -3.532%+209
Avalanche -2.548%+107
Avalanche -1.565%-183
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.552%48%
7.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 87% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.1 and Colorado Avalanche 4.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -369.

What is the projected score for Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Calgary Flames 2.1 and Colorado Avalanche 4.5, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Calgary Flames last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 3, Colorado Avalanche 7. In the last 4 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 4 and Calgary Flames won 0.

What is the best bet for Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche?

Over 5 goals at -369, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Flames. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.