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Predictions › United States › Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken
NHLSun 4 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken prediction

Climate Pledge Arena

Calgary FlamesAway
2.5 : 3.1
projected goals
Seattle KrakenHome
46%Flames
54%Kraken
Eagle safe pickFlames +1.5
-218

Quick answer

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Calgary Flames 2.5 and Seattle Kraken 3.1. Our best bet is Flames +1.5 at -218.

Prediction
Seattle Kraken to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Calgary Flames 3, Seattle Kraken 3
Projected total
5.6 goals
Best bet
Flames +1.5 at -218

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Flames +1.5
65% chancePrice -2181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Kraken 54% and Calgary Flames 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Kraken the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5 and Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5. Seattle Kraken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Kraken won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Kraken score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.8. Calgary Flames score 2.8 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.0 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Seattle Kraken won 4 and Calgary Flames won 1. The last one ended Seattle Kraken 4, Calgary Flames 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Flames +1.5 has a 65% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Krakenrest between games-5%
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken: Seattle Kraken shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Kraken host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Sun 4 Oct, 20:00 at Climate Pledge Arena. Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Calgary Flames 2.5 and Seattle Kraken 3.1. Our best bet is Flames +1.5 at -218.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Seattle Kraken won 4, Calgary Flames won 1. Last time out it finished Seattle Kraken 4, Calgary Flames 3.

Our call

We expect Calgary Flames to score about 2.5 goals and Seattle Kraken about 3.1. That points to Seattle Kraken to win. Our safest bet is Flames +1.5 at -218.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KrakenFlames
Games played2020
Wins69
Losses1411
Goals scored5056
Goals conceded7565
Scored per game2.52.8
Conceded per game3.83.3
Home record4W 4L8W 3L
Away record2W 10L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kraken to win54%-117-135-6.3%
Flames to win40%+151+114-14.6%
Kraken -1.533%+203+180-7.6%
Flames +1.565%-182-218-5.9%
Over 5.5 goals49%+104-110-6.4%
Under 5.5 goals45%+124-110-14.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Kraken spreadCoversFair
Kraken -1.535%+185
Kraken -0.551%-106
Kraken +0.567%-207
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.552%48%
6.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kraken +3.5 wins if Kraken win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken?

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Calgary Flames 2.5 and Seattle Kraken 3.1. Our best bet is Flames +1.5 at -218.

What is the projected score for Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken?

We project Calgary Flames 2.5 and Seattle Kraken 3.1, about 5.6 goals in total.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Kraken and Calgary Flames last met?

It ended Seattle Kraken 4, Calgary Flames 3. In the last 5 meetings Seattle Kraken won 4 and Calgary Flames won 1.

What is the best bet for Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken?

Flames +1.5 at -218, with a 65% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kraken against Flames. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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