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Predictions › United States › Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks
NHLSat 3 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks prediction

Rogers Arena

Calgary FlamesAway
2.8 : 3.0
projected goals
Vancouver CanucksHome
49%Flames
51%Canucks
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-372

Quick answer

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks is Vancouver Canucks to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Calgary Flames 2.8 and Vancouver Canucks 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -372.

Prediction
Vancouver Canucks to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Calgary Flames 3, Vancouver Canucks 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -372

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
79% chanceFair price -3722 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flames to win
43% chanceFair price +1321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vancouver Canucks 51% and Calgary Flames 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vancouver Canucks won 1 of their last 5 and Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5. Calgary Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vancouver Canucks score 2.6 goals a game and let in 4.1. Calgary Flames score 2.8 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Vancouver Canucks won 2 and Calgary Flames won 3. The last one ended Calgary Flames 3, Vancouver Canucks 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canucksrest between games-5%
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks: Vancouver Canucks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vancouver Canucks host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Sat 3 Oct, 22:00 at Rogers Arena. Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks is Vancouver Canucks to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Calgary Flames 2.8 and Vancouver Canucks 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -372.

Vancouver Canucks form

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Vancouver Canucks won 2, Calgary Flames won 3. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 3, Vancouver Canucks 1.

Our call

We expect Calgary Flames to score about 2.8 goals and Vancouver Canucks about 3.0. That points to Vancouver Canucks to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -372. Our bold bet is Flames to win at +132.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanucksFlames
Games played2020
Wins69
Losses1411
Goals scored5356
Goals conceded8265
Scored per game2.62.8
Conceded per game4.13.3
Home record3W 7L8W 3L
Away record3W 7L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canucks spreadCoversFair
Canucks -1.529%+242
Canucks -0.545%+123
Canucks +0.561%-158
Total goalsOverUnder
4.571%29%
5.555%45%
6.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canucks +3.5 wins if Canucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks?

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks is Vancouver Canucks to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Calgary Flames 2.8 and Vancouver Canucks 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -372.

What is the projected score for Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks?

We project Calgary Flames 2.8 and Vancouver Canucks 3.0, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Vancouver Canucks playing?

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Vancouver Canucks and Calgary Flames last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 3, Vancouver Canucks 1. In the last 5 meetings Vancouver Canucks won 2 and Calgary Flames won 3.

What is the best bet for Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canucks?

Over 4 goals at -372, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canucks against Flames. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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