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Predictions › United States › Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights
NHLThu 15 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

T-Mobile Arena

Calgary FlamesAway
2.3 : 4.0
projected goals
Vegas Golden KnightsHome
23%Flames
77%Golden Knights
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-375

Quick answer

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 77% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 4.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Calgary Flames 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -375

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
79% chanceFair price -3752 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vegas Golden Knights 77% and Calgary Flames 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vegas Golden Knights won 3 of their last 5 and Calgary Flames won 0 of their last 5. Vegas Golden Knights come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vegas Golden Knights won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vegas Golden Knights score 3.4 goals a game and let in 2.9. Calgary Flames score 2.5 and let in 3.7. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Vegas Golden Knights won 3 and Calgary Flames won 1. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 6, Calgary Flames 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights: Vegas Golden Knights are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vegas Golden Knights host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Thu 15 Oct, 22:00 at T-Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 77% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 4.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 74 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Vegas Golden Knights won 3, Calgary Flames won 1. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 6, Calgary Flames 3.

Our call

We expect Calgary Flames to score about 2.3 goals and Vegas Golden Knights about 4.0. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Golden KnightsFlames
Games played2020
Wins137
Losses713
Goals scored6751
Goals conceded5774
Scored per game3.42.5
Conceded per game2.93.7
Home record6W 4L6W 4L
Away record7W 3L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Golden Knights spreadCoversFair
Golden Knights -2.537%+173
Golden Knights -1.553%-113
Golden Knights -0.569%-221
Total goalsOverUnder
5.562%38%
6.545%55%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Golden Knights +3.5 wins if Golden Knights win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Vegas Locks Up Original Misfit William Karlsson With Two Year Extension

The Vegas Golden Knights have signed center William Karlsson to a two year, 13.5 million dollar contract extension.

30 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Our prediction for Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 77% chance. We project Calgary Flames 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 4.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

What is the projected score for Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights?

We project Calgary Flames 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 4.0, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 74 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Vegas Golden Knights and Calgary Flames last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 6, Calgary Flames 3. In the last 4 meetings Vegas Golden Knights won 3 and Calgary Flames won 1.

What is the best bet for Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Under 8 goals at -375, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Golden Knights against Flames. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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