Predictions › United Kingdom › Cambridge United vs Blackpool
League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Cambridge United vs Blackpool prediction

Cledara Abbey Stadium

Cambridge UnitedHome
1.81 : 1.08
expected goals
BlackpoolAway
54%Cambridge
24%Draw
22%Blackpool
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Blackpool is Cambridge United to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Cambridge United to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cambridge United 1.8, Blackpool 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cambridge United to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cambridge United 54%, the draw 24% and Blackpool 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cambridge United took 9 points from their last 5 games and Blackpool took 4 from 5. Cambridge United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cambridge United won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Blackpool won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cambridge United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Blackpool score 1.5 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cambridge United games and 12 of Blackpool games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cambridgerecent form+3%
  • Blackpoolrecent form-6%
Cambridge form D W D W DBlackpool form L L D L LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cambridge United vs Blackpool: Cambridge United are favourites

The big picture

Cambridge United host Blackpool in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Cledara Abbey Stadium. Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Blackpool is Cambridge United to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Cambridge United form

Cambridge United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 14 games, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cambridge United to score about 1.8 goals and Blackpool about 1.1. That points to Cambridge United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Cambridge United to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CambridgeBlackpool
Games played1420
Wins510
Draws53
Losses47
Goals scored2030
Goals conceded1728
Scored per game1.41.5
Conceded per game1.21.4
Home record4W 1D 3L6W 2D 2L
Away record1W 4D 1L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets14%35%
Both teams scored71%60%
Over 2.5 goals57%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals55%4/5
Over 3.5 goals33%2/1
Both teams to score56%4/5
Cambridge United or Draw78%2/7
Blackpool or Draw46%6/5
Cambridge United to win and Over 2.535%15/8
Blackpool to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Cambridge United clean sheet34%2/1
Blackpool clean sheet16%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.8%
1-09.4%
2-09.1%
0-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cambridge United vs Blackpool?

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Blackpool is Cambridge United to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Cambridge United vs Blackpool?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Cambridge United to score 1.8 goals and Blackpool 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cambridge United vs Blackpool?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cambridge United last 14 games and 12 of Blackpool last 20.

How are Cambridge United playing?

Cambridge United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 14 games, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cambridge United vs Blackpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cambridge against Blackpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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