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Predictions › United Kingdom › Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle
League OneSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle prediction

Cledara Abbey Stadium

Cambridge UnitedHome
1.28 : 1.77
expected goals
Plymouth ArgyleAway
27%Cambridge
25%Draw
48%Plymouth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Plymouth Argyle to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cambridge United 1.3, Plymouth Argyle 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cambridge United 27%, the draw 25% and Plymouth Argyle 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cambridge United took 9 points from their last 5 games and Plymouth Argyle took 12 from 5. Plymouth Argyle come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cambridge United won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Plymouth Argyle won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cambridge United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Plymouth Argyle score 2.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cambridge United games and 13 of Plymouth Argyle games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cambridgerecent form+3%
  • Plymouthrecent form+3%
Cambridge form D W D W DPlymouth form D W W L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle: Plymouth Argyle are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cambridge United host Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Cledara Abbey Stadium. Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Cambridge United form

Cambridge United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Plymouth Argyle form

Plymouth Argyle have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cambridge United to score about 1.3 goals and Plymouth Argyle about 1.8. That points to Plymouth Argyle to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CambridgePlymouth
Games played1520
Wins612
Draws53
Losses45
Goals scored2140
Goals conceded1726
Scored per game1.42.0
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record5W 1D 3L6W 1D 4L
Away record1W 4D 1L6W 2D 1L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored67%65%
Over 2.5 goals53%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%8/11
Over 3.5 goals37%7/4
Both teams to score61%4/6
Cambridge United or Draw52%10/11
Plymouth Argyle or Draw73%4/11
Cambridge United to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Cambridge United clean sheet17%5/1
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet28%13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.5%
0-17.7%
0-27.4%
2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle?

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Cambridge United to score 1.3 goals and Plymouth Argyle 1.8.

Will both teams score in Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cambridge United last 15 games and 13 of Plymouth Argyle last 20.

How are Cambridge United playing?

Cambridge United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Plymouth Argyle playing?

Plymouth Argyle have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cambridge against Plymouth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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