Predictions › United Kingdom › Cambridge United vs Stockport County

League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Cambridge United vs Stockport County prediction

Cledara Abbey Stadium

Cambridge UnitedHome

1.29 : 1.59

expected goals

Stockport CountyAway

30%Cambridge

26%Draw

44%Stockport

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Stockport County is Stockport County to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction: Stockport County to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Cambridge United 1.3, Stockport County 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 2/72 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stockport County to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cambridge United 30%, the draw 26% and Stockport County 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cambridge United took 2 points from their last 5 games and Stockport County took 10 from 5. Stockport County come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cambridge United won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Stockport County won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Cambridge United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Stockport County score 1.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cambridge United games and 10 of Stockport County games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cambridge United won 0 and Stockport County won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Stockport County 0, Cambridge United 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cambridgerecent form-1%
Stockportrecent form+1%

Cambridge form D W L D LStockport form D W W L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cambridge United vs Stockport County: Stockport County shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cambridge United host Stockport County in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Cledara Abbey Stadium. Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Stockport County is Stockport County to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Cambridge United form

Cambridge United have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cambridge United won 0, Stockport County won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Stockport County 0, Cambridge United 0.

Our call

We expect Cambridge United to score about 1.3 goals and Stockport County about 1.6. That points to Stockport County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Stockport County to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cambridge	Stockport
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	12
Draws	7	3
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	28	37
Goals conceded	28	22
Scored per game	1.4	1.9
Conceded per game	1.4	1.1
Home record	5W 2D 4L	6W 1D 2L
Away record	2W 5D 2L	6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	35%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1/4
Over 2.5 goals	55%	4/5
Over 3.5 goals	33%	2/1
Both teams to score	58%	8/11
Cambridge United or Draw	56%	4/5
Stockport County or Draw	70%	4/9
Cambridge United to win and Over 2.5	19%	4/1
Stockport County to win and Over 2.5	28%	5/2
Cambridge United clean sheet	20%	4/1
Stockport County clean sheet	27%	13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

1-29.2%

0-18.2%

2-17.4%

0-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cambridge United vs Stockport County?

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Stockport County is Stockport County to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Cambridge United vs Stockport County?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Cambridge United to score 1.3 goals and Stockport County 1.6.

Will both teams score in Cambridge United vs Stockport County?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Cambridge United last 20 games and 11 of Stockport County last 20.

How are Cambridge United playing?

How are Stockport County playing?

What happened when Cambridge United and Stockport County last met?

It ended Stockport County 0, Cambridge United 0. In the last 1 meeting Cambridge United won 0 and Stockport County won 0.

What is the best bet for Cambridge United vs Stockport County?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cambridge against Stockport. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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