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Predictions › United Kingdom › Carlisle United vs Salford City
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Carlisle United vs Salford City prediction

Brunton Park

Carlisle UnitedHome
1.83 : 1.38
expected goals
Salford CityAway
48%Carlisle
24%Draw
28%Salford City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carlisle United vs Salford City is Carlisle United to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Carlisle United to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Carlisle United 1.8, Salford City 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Carlisle United to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Carlisle United 48%, the draw 24% and Salford City 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Carlisle United took 3 points from their last 2 games and Salford City took 8 from 5. Salford City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Carlisle United score 2.0 goals a game and let in 3.0. Salford City score 1.8 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Carlisle United games and 2 of Salford City games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Carlislerecent form+4%
  • Salford Cityrecent form+3%
  • Carlislerest between games-3%
  • Salford Cityrest between games-3%
Carlisle form D W D W WSalford City form D W W W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carlisle United vs Salford City: Carlisle United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Carlisle United host Salford City in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Brunton Park. Our prediction for Carlisle United vs Salford City is Carlisle United to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Carlisle United form

Carlisle United have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their last 2 results read L, W, newest first.

Salford City form

Salford City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Carlisle United to score about 1.8 goals and Salford City about 1.4. That points to Carlisle United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Carlisle United to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 5 games in all competitions.

CarlisleSalford City
Games played25
Wins12
Draws02
Losses11
Goals scored49
Goals conceded66
Scored per game2.01.8
Conceded per game3.01.2
Home recordn/a2W 2D 0L
Away record1W 0D 1L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored100%60%
Over 2.5 goals100%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1/5
Over 2.5 goals62%8/13
Over 3.5 goals40%6/4
Both teams to score63%4/7
Carlisle United or Draw72%2/5
Salford City or Draw52%10/11
Carlisle United to win and Over 2.534%2/1
Salford City to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Carlisle United clean sheet25%3/1
Salford City clean sheet16%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.3%
1-27.0%
1-06.8%
2-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Carlisle United vs Salford City?

Our prediction for Carlisle United vs Salford City is Carlisle United to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Carlisle United vs Salford City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Carlisle United to score 1.8 goals and Salford City 1.4.

Will both teams score in Carlisle United vs Salford City?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Carlisle United last 2 games and 3 of Salford City last 5.

How are Carlisle United playing?

Carlisle United have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their last 2 results read L, W, newest first.

How are Salford City playing?

Salford City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Carlisle United vs Salford City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Carlisle against Salford City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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