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Predictions › Italy › Carrarese vs Benevento
Serie BSat 19 Sept, 13:00 Italy time

Carrarese vs Benevento prediction

Dei Marmi

CarrareseHome
1.26 : 0.82
expected goals
BeneventoAway
46%Carrarese
31%Draw
23%Benevento
Eagle safe pickCarrarese or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carrarese vs Benevento is Carrarese to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Carrarese or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Carrarese to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Carrarese 1.3, Benevento 0.8
Best bet
Carrarese or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Carrarese or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Carrarese 46%, the draw 31% and Benevento 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Carrarese took 1 point from their last 5 games and Benevento took 4 from 4. Benevento come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Carrarese score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Benevento score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Carrarese games and 2 of Benevento games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Carrarese or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Carrareserecent form-6%
  • Beneventorecent form-3%
  • Carrareserest between games-5%
  • Beneventorest between games-5%
Carrarese form L L D L LBenevento form W L D L LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carrarese vs Benevento: Carrarese are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Carrarese host Benevento in the Serie B on Sat 19 Sept, 13:00 at Dei Marmi. Our prediction for Carrarese vs Benevento is Carrarese to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Carrarese or Draw at 1.27.

Carrarese form

Carrarese have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Benevento form

Benevento have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 4 results read W, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Carrarese to score about 1.3 goals and Benevento about 0.8. That points to Carrarese to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Carrarese or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CarrareseBenevento
Games played204
Wins31
Draws71
Losses102
Goals scored185
Goals conceded255
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game1.31.3
Home record2W 4D 4L1W 1D 1L
Away record1W 3D 6L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets20%0%
Both teams scored40%75%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.90
Over 3.5 goals16%6.35
Both teams to score41%2.45
Carrarese or Draw77%1.30
Benevento or Draw54%1.85
Carrarese to win and Over 2.521%4.75
Benevento to win and Over 2.510%10.33
Carrarese clean sheet44%2.26
Benevento clean sheet28%3.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.0%
1-113.7%
0-013.3%
2-010.0%
0-19.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Carrarese vs Benevento?

Our prediction for Carrarese vs Benevento is Carrarese to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Carrarese or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Carrarese vs Benevento?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Carrarese to score 1.3 goals and Benevento 0.8.

Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Benevento?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Carrarese last 20 games and 3 of Benevento last 4.

How are Carrarese playing?

Carrarese have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Benevento playing?

Benevento have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 4 results read W, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Carrarese vs Benevento?

Carrarese or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Carrarese against Benevento. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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