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Predictions › Italy › Carrarese vs Sampdoria
Serie BSun 8 Nov, 16:15 Italy time

Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction

Dei Marmi

CarrareseHome
1.44 : 0.66
expected goals
SampdoriaAway
55%Carrarese
28%Draw
16%Sampdoria
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carrarese vs Sampdoria is Carrarese to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Carrarese to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Carrarese 1.4, Sampdoria 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Carrarese to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Carrarese 55%, the draw 28% and Sampdoria 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Carrarese took 9 points from their last 5 games and Sampdoria took 4 from 5. Carrarese come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Carrarese won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Sampdoria won 1 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Carrarese score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Sampdoria score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Carrarese games and 9 of Sampdoria games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Carrarese won 1 and Sampdoria won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Carrarese 2, Sampdoria 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sampdoriarecent form-3%
  • Carrareserest between games-5%
  • Sampdoriarest between games-2%
Carrarese form D L W W LSampdoria form L D L L WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: Carrarese are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Carrarese host Sampdoria in the Serie B on Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 at Dei Marmi. Our prediction for Carrarese vs Sampdoria is Carrarese to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Carrarese form

Carrarese have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Sampdoria form

Sampdoria have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Carrarese won 1, Sampdoria won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Carrarese 2, Sampdoria 0.

Our call

We expect Carrarese to score about 1.4 goals and Sampdoria about 0.7. That points to Carrarese to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Carrarese to win and Over 2.5 at 3.96.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CarrareseSampdoria
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws55
Losses910
Goals scored2415
Goals conceded2530
Scored per game1.20.8
Conceded per game1.31.5
Home record4W 3D 4L4W 1D 3L
Away record2W 2D 5L1W 4D 7L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.59
Over 2.5 goals35%2.84
Over 3.5 goals16%6.16
Both teams to score38%2.65
Carrarese or Draw84%1.20
Sampdoria or Draw45%2.23
Carrarese to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Sampdoria to win and Over 2.56%15.69
Carrarese clean sheet52%1.94
Sampdoria clean sheet24%4.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.9%
0-012.9%
2-012.7%
1-112.3%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Our prediction for Carrarese vs Sampdoria is Carrarese to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Carrarese to score 1.4 goals and Sampdoria 0.7.

Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Carrarese last 20 games and 10 of Sampdoria last 20.

How are Carrarese playing?

Carrarese have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Sampdoria playing?

Sampdoria have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Carrarese and Sampdoria last met?

It ended Carrarese 2, Sampdoria 0. In the last 2 meetings Carrarese won 1 and Sampdoria won 1.

What is the best bet for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Carrarese against Sampdoria. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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