Predictions › Spain › Castellón vs Eibar

LaLiga 2Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 Spain time

Castellón vs Eibar prediction

Nou Estadi Castalia

CastellónHome

1.52 : 0.92

expected goals

EibarAway

51%Castellón

27%Draw

22%Eibar

Eagle safe pickCastellón or Draw

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Castellón vs Eibar is Castellón to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction: Castellón to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Castellón 1.5, Eibar 0.9
Best bet: Castellón or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Castellón or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Castellón to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Castellón 51%, the draw 27% and Eibar 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Castellón took 10 points from their last 5 games and Eibar took 7 from 5. Castellón come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Castellón won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Eibar won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Castellón score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Eibar score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Castellón games and 13 of Eibar games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Castellón won 1 and Eibar won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Castellón 2, Eibar 1.
6
The safest bet
Castellón or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Castellónrecent form+1%
Eibarrecent form+1%
Castellónrest between games-2%

Castellón form D W L D WEibar form D D L W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Castellón vs Eibar: Castellón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Castellón host Eibar in the LaLiga 2 on Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 at Nou Estadi Castalia. Our prediction for Castellón vs Eibar is Castellón to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27.

Castellón form

Castellón have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Eibar form

Eibar have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Castellón won 1, Eibar won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Castellón 2, Eibar 1.

Our call

We expect Castellón to score about 1.5 goals and Eibar about 0.9. That points to Castellón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Castellón to win and Over 2.5 at 3.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Castellón	Eibar
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	12
Draws	5	2
Losses	3	6
Goals scored	37	35
Goals conceded	16	22
Scored per game	1.9	1.8
Conceded per game	0.8	1.1
Home record	5W 4D 1L	6W 1D 2L
Away record	7W 1D 2L	6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	40%	45%
Both teams scored	55%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.42
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.28
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.39
Both teams to score	48%	2.10
Castellón or Draw	78%	1.28
Eibar or Draw	49%	2.02
Castellón to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.59
Eibar to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.07
Castellón clean sheet	40%	2.50
Eibar clean sheet	22%	4.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%

1-012.6%

2-010.1%

0-09.5%

2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Castellón vs Eibar?

Our prediction for Castellón vs Eibar is Castellón to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Castellón vs Eibar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Castellón to score 1.5 goals and Eibar 0.9.

Will both teams score in Castellón vs Eibar?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Castellón last 20 games and 10 of Eibar last 20.

How are Castellón playing?

How are Eibar playing?

What happened when Castellón and Eibar last met?

It ended Castellón 2, Eibar 1. In the last 2 meetings Castellón won 1 and Eibar won 0.

What is the best bet for Castellón vs Eibar?

Castellón or Draw at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Castellón against Eibar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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