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Predictions › Spain › Castellón vs Sporting Gijón
LaLiga 2Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Spain time

Castellón vs Sporting Gijón prediction

Nou Estadi Castalia

CastellónHome
1.78 : 0.99
expected goals
Sporting GijónAway
55%Castellón
25%Draw
20%Gijón
Eagle safe pickCastellón or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Castellón vs Sporting Gijón is Castellón to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Castellón to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Castellón 1.8, Sporting Gijón 1.0
Best bet
Castellón or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Castellón or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Castellón to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Castellón 55%, the draw 25% and Sporting Gijón 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Castellón took 10 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Gijón took 9 from 5. Castellón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Castellón won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sporting Gijón won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Castellón score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Sporting Gijón score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Castellón games and 10 of Sporting Gijón games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Castellón won 1 and Sporting Gijón won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting Gijón 4, Castellón 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Castellón or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Castellónrecent form+4%
Castellón form D D W W WGijón form D W L W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Castellón vs Sporting Gijón: Castellón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Castellón host Sporting Gijón in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 at Nou Estadi Castalia. Our prediction for Castellón vs Sporting Gijón is Castellón to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27.

Castellón form

Castellón have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Castellón won 1, Sporting Gijón won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Gijón 4, Castellón 1.

Our call

We expect Castellón to score about 1.8 goals and Sporting Gijón about 1.0. That points to Castellón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Castellón to win and Over 2.5 at 2.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CastellónGijón
Games played2020
Wins1110
Draws62
Losses38
Goals scored3527
Goals conceded2023
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game1.01.1
Home record5W 4D 1L5W 2D 3L
Away record6W 2D 2L5W 0D 5L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.31
Both teams to score53%1.89
Castellón or Draw80%1.25
Sporting Gijón or Draw45%2.24
Castellón to win and Over 2.535%2.86
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.511%8.71
Castellón clean sheet37%2.68
Sporting Gijón clean sheet17%5.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
1-010.5%
2-010.0%
2-19.8%
0-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Castellón vs Sporting Gijón?

Our prediction for Castellón vs Sporting Gijón is Castellón to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Castellón vs Sporting Gijón?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Castellón to score 1.8 goals and Sporting Gijón 1.0.

Will both teams score in Castellón vs Sporting Gijón?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Castellón last 20 games and 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20.

How are Castellón playing?

Castellón have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

Sporting Gijón have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Castellón and Sporting Gijón last met?

It ended Sporting Gijón 4, Castellón 1. In the last 2 meetings Castellón won 1 and Sporting Gijón won 1.

What is the best bet for Castellón vs Sporting Gijón?

Castellón or Draw at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Castellón against Gijón. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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