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Predictions › Spain › Castellón vs Tenerife
LaLiga 2Sat 19 Sept, 16:30 Spain time

Castellón vs Tenerife prediction

Nou Estadi Castalia

CastellónHome
1.79 : 0.99
expected goals
TenerifeAway
56%Castellón
24%Draw
20%Tenerife
Eagle safe pickCastellón or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Castellón vs Tenerife is Castellón to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Castellón to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Castellón 1.8, Tenerife 1.0
Best bet
Castellón or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Castellón or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Castellón to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Castellón 56%, the draw 24% and Tenerife 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Castellón took 13 points from their last 5 games and Tenerife took 7 from 4. Castellón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Castellón score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Tenerife score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Castellón games and 1 of Tenerife games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Castellón or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Castellónrecent form+6%
  • Castellónrest between games-5%
Castellón form W W W D WTenerife form D L W W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Castellón vs Tenerife: Castellón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Castellón host Tenerife in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 19 Sept, 16:30 at Nou Estadi Castalia. Our prediction for Castellón vs Tenerife is Castellón to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.20.

Castellón form

Castellón have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Castellón to score about 1.8 goals and Tenerife about 1.0. That points to Castellón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Castellón to win and Over 2.5 at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CastellónTenerife
Games played204
Wins102
Draws71
Losses31
Goals scored325
Goals conceded243
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.20.8
Home record5W 4D 1L1W 0D 1L
Away record5W 3D 2L1W 1D 0L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.30
Both teams to score53%1.89
Castellón or Draw80%1.25
Tenerife or Draw44%2.25
Castellón to win and Over 2.535%2.84
Tenerife to win and Over 2.511%8.73
Castellón clean sheet37%2.68
Tenerife clean sheet17%6.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-010.5%
2-010.0%
2-19.8%
0-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Castellón vs Tenerife?

Our prediction for Castellón vs Tenerife is Castellón to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Castellón or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Castellón vs Tenerife?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Castellón to score 1.8 goals and Tenerife 1.0.

Will both teams score in Castellón vs Tenerife?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Castellón last 20 games and 2 of Tenerife last 4.

How are Castellón playing?

Castellón have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Castellón vs Tenerife?

Castellón or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Castellón against Tenerife. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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