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Predictions › Italy › Catanzaro vs Padova
Serie BSat 31 Oct, 16:15 Italy time

Catanzaro vs Padova prediction

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

CatanzaroHome
1.76 : 1.14
expected goals
PadovaAway
51%Catanzaro
25%Draw
24%Padova
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Catanzaro vs Padova is Catanzaro to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Catanzaro to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Catanzaro 1.8, Padova 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Catanzaro to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Catanzaro 51%, the draw 25% and Padova 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Catanzaro took 4 points from their last 5 games and Padova took 3 from 5. Catanzaro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Catanzaro won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Padova won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Catanzaro score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Padova score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Catanzaro games and 8 of Padova games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Catanzaro won 1 and Padova won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Padova 1, Catanzaro 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Catanzarorecent form-3%
  • Padovarecent form-3%
Catanzaro form D L L W LPadova form D L L W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Catanzaro vs Padova: Catanzaro are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Catanzaro host Padova in the Serie B on Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Our prediction for Catanzaro vs Padova is Catanzaro to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Catanzaro form

Catanzaro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Padova form

Padova have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Catanzaro won 1, Padova won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Padova 1, Catanzaro 3.

Our call

We expect Catanzaro to score about 1.8 goals and Padova about 1.1. That points to Catanzaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Catanzaro to win and Over 2.5 at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CatanzaroPadova
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws63
Losses1010
Goals scored2820
Goals conceded3428
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record4W 2D 3L4W 3D 4L
Away record0W 4D 7L3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.01
Both teams to score57%1.75
Catanzaro or Draw76%1.31
Padova or Draw49%2.05
Catanzaro to win and Over 2.534%2.96
Padova to win and Over 2.515%6.76
Catanzaro clean sheet32%3.13
Padova clean sheet17%5.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-19.7%
1-09.0%
2-08.5%
1-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?

Our prediction for Catanzaro vs Padova is Catanzaro to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Catanzaro vs Padova?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Catanzaro to score 1.8 goals and Padova 1.1.

Will both teams score in Catanzaro vs Padova?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Catanzaro last 20 games and 10 of Padova last 20.

How are Catanzaro playing?

Catanzaro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Padova playing?

Padova have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Catanzaro and Padova last met?

It ended Padova 1, Catanzaro 3. In the last 2 meetings Catanzaro won 1 and Padova won 1.

What is the best bet for Catanzaro vs Padova?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Catanzaro against Padova. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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