Predictions › Turkey › Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
Super LigSat 10 Oct, 16:00 Turkey time

Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce prediction

Estadio Caykur Didi

Caykur RizesporHome
1.07 : 1.84
expected goals
FenerbahceAway
21%Caykur Rizespor
24%Draw
55%Fenerbahce
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Fenerbahce to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Caykur Rizespor 1.1, Fenerbahce 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Caykur Rizespor 21%, the draw 24% and Fenerbahce 55%. The bookmakers agree and make Fenerbahce the favourite at 1.69.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Caykur Rizespor took 7 points from their last 5 games and Fenerbahce took 8 from 5. Fenerbahce come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Caykur Rizespor won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Fenerbahce won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Caykur Rizespor score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Fenerbahce score 2.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Caykur Rizespor games and 14 of Fenerbahce games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Caykur Rizespor won 0 and Fenerbahce won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Fenerbahce 2, Caykur Rizespor 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fenerbahcerecent form+1%
Caykur Rizespor form D W L W LFenerbahce form W D D L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce: Fenerbahce are favourites

The big picture

Caykur Rizespor host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig on Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 at Estadio Caykur Didi. Our prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Caykur Rizespor form

Caykur Rizespor have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Caykur Rizespor won 0, Fenerbahce won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Fenerbahce 2, Caykur Rizespor 2.

Our call

We expect Caykur Rizespor to score about 1.1 goals and Fenerbahce about 1.8. That points to Fenerbahce to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5 at 2.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Caykur RizesporFenerbahce
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws46
Losses74
Goals scored2945
Goals conceded2825
Scored per game1.42.3
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record5W 1D 3L6W 4D 1L
Away record4W 3D 4L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Caykur Rizespor to win21%4.814.40-8.5%
A Draw24%4.263.90-8.3%
Fenerbahce to win52%1.941.69-13.0%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.891.63-14.2%
Under 2.5 goals41%2.442.10-14.1%
Caykur Rizespor +0.542%2.412.05-14.8%
Fenerbahce -0.552%1.921.63-15.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Both teams to score56%1.79
Caykur Rizespor or Draw45%2.21
Fenerbahce or Draw79%1.27
Caykur Rizespor to win and Over 2.513%7.78
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.536%2.77
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet16%6.28
Fenerbahce clean sheet34%2.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.9%
0-19.4%
0-29.2%
0-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Our prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Caykur Rizespor to score 1.1 goals and Fenerbahce 1.8.

Will both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Caykur Rizespor last 20 games and 12 of Fenerbahce last 20.

How are Caykur Rizespor playing?

Caykur Rizespor have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Fenerbahce playing?

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Caykur Rizespor and Fenerbahce last met?

It ended Fenerbahce 2, Caykur Rizespor 2. In the last 2 meetings Caykur Rizespor won 0 and Fenerbahce won 1.

What is the best bet for Caykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahce?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Caykur Rizespor against Fenerbahce. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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